MARA @ $11.02

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-25.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $1,300 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$4,333

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$738

If assigned

-$21,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($4,812 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	16d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.33	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.98	16d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.10	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$15.48	44d	+$0.09	$-0.02 to $0.15	84%	81%
Safety Up	$16.48	44d	-$0.06	$-0.19 to $-0.00	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $7,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle

27.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$311

If assigned

-$7,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($5,846 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $14.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	16d	+$0.31	$0.34 to $0.47	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.48	16d	+$0.11	$0.11 to $0.26	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$17.98	44d	+$0.07	$0.05 to $0.29	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.35 · $3,500 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$11,667

Annualized

129%

EV / cycle

+$1,262

If assigned

-$29,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($4,177 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $11.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	16d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.21	67%	53%
Up And Out	$11.98	16d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $-0.00	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$14.48	44d	+$0.00	$-0.17 to $-0.06	86%	83%
Safety Up	$15.48	37d	-$0.20	$-0.41 to $-0.28	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$13.48	44d	+$0.20	$0.06 to $0.15	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $1,300 this cycle

40.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$845

If assigned

+$8,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($13,116 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $15.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	37d	+$0.24	$0.25 to $0.41	70%	55%
Up And Out	$15.98	37d	+$0.05	$0.04 to $0.18	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$16.48	44d	+$0.09	$0.08 to $0.29	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.33 · $3,100 this cycle

22.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,100

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,497

If assigned

-$9,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($10,350 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $13.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	37d	+$0.20	$0.16 to $0.25	69%	54%
Up And Out	$13.98	37d	+$0.00	$-0.05 to $0.04	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$13.98	37d	+$0.00	$-0.05 to $0.04	72%	61%
Safety Up	$15.48	44d	-$0.29	$-0.40 to $-0.25	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $6,300 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,300

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$2,102

If assigned

-$21,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($8,484 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	37d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.15	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.98	37d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.16	69%	54%
Safety Up	$15.98	44d	-$0.63	$-0.88 to $-0.73	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-07 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.