MARA @ $10.36

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-29.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $31,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $1,500 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$5,625

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$849

If assigned

-$31,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($4,504 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	15d	+$0.23	$0.19 to $0.29	68%	53%
Up And Out	$11.64	15d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.20	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$14.14	43d	+$0.09	$-0.03 to $0.13	84%	80%
Safety Up	$14.14	29d	-$0.14	$-0.27 to $-0.11	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $17,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

25.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,125

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$224

If assigned

-$17,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($5,540 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $13.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	15d	+$0.28	$0.31 to $0.43	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.64	15d	+$0.02	$0.00 to $0.16	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$16.64	43d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.27	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $34,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $11 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $2,600 this cycle

6.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$9,750

Annualized

115%

EV / cycle

+$1,124

If assigned

-$34,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($4,182 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	15d	+$0.21	$0.15 to $0.22	68%	53%
Up And Out	$11.14	15d	+$0.14	$0.07 to $0.14	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$13.64	43d	+$0.05	$-0.12 to $0.02	84%	82%
Safety Up	$15.64	43d	-$0.19	$-0.41 to $-0.24	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$12.64	43d	+$0.26	$0.14 to $0.26	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

44.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,083

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$793

If assigned

+$3,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($14,753 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $15.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	43d	+$0.22	$0.23 to $0.37	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$14.64	43d	+$0.36	$0.37 to $0.53	69%	52%
Safety Up	$15.64	43d	-$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.04	73%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $3,300 this cycle

25.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,538

If assigned

-$14,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.16/share ($11,600 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	43d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.23	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$12.64	43d	+$0.32	$0.29 to $0.40	68%	50%
Safety Up	$13.64	43d	-$0.11	$-0.16 to $-0.08	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.70 · $6,700 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$5,583

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$2,287

If assigned

-$25,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.95/share ($9,474 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $11.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	43d	+$0.14	$0.10 to $0.14	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.14	43d	+$0.30	$0.25 to $0.30	67%	49%
Safety Up	$14.14	43d	-$0.63	$-0.82 to $-0.71	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.