MARA @ $9.63

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-34.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $11 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $35,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $11 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

14.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,429

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$801

If assigned

-$35,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($5,333 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $11.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.00	21d	+$0.20	$0.17 to $0.24	69%	53%
Up And Out	$11.37	21d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.06	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$12.37	35d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.09	79%	73%
Safety Up	$13.37	42d	-$0.05	$-0.17 to $-0.02	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$12.37	42d	+$0.18	$0.10 to $0.23	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

19.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$194

If assigned

-$32,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($4,101 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $11.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	14d	+$0.26	$0.28 to $0.37	69%	53%
Up And Out	$11.87	14d	+$0.10	$0.08 to $0.19	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$14.87	42d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.16	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $2,600 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$11,143

Annualized

141%

EV / cycle

+$946

If assigned

-$44,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.32/share ($3,223 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	14d	+$0.21	$0.17 to $0.21	69%	52%
Up And Out	$10.37	14d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.03	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$12.37	42d	+$0.06	$-0.07 to $0.02	85%	82%
Safety Up	$13.37	35d	-$0.14	$-0.32 to $-0.19	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$11.37	42d	+$0.27	$0.17 to $0.25	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.30 · $2,900 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,486

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,359

If assigned

-$24,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.02/share ($10,182 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	42d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.22	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$11.37	42d	+$0.46	$0.44 to $0.55	66%	45%
Safety Up	$12.37	42d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.02	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

45.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$1,143

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$955

If assigned

-$5,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $6,300 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$5,400

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$2,077

If assigned

-$36,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($8,140 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	42d	+$0.13	$0.10 to $0.12	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.87	42d	+$0.44	$0.40 to $0.45	65%	43%
Safety Up	$12.87	42d	-$0.55	$-0.73 to $-0.63	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.