MARA @ $9.61

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-34.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $900 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$543

If assigned

-$41,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($3,125 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	13d	+$0.21	$0.18 to $0.25	67%	53%
Up And Out	$10.89	13d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.06	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$12.89	34d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.04	86%	83%
Safety Up	$13.89	41d	-$0.03	$-0.14 to $-0.00	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$12.89	41d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.14	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $200 this cycle

19.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,000

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$150

If assigned

-$32,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($3,676 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	13d	+$0.24	-	67%	53%
Up And Out	$11.89	13d	+$0.06	-	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$14.89	41d	+$0.05	-	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $2,000 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$10,000

Annualized

127%

EV / cycle

+$848

If assigned

-$45,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($2,866 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	13d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.19	67%	52%
Up And Out	$10.39	13d	+$0.02	$-0.06 to $0.00	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$12.39	41d	+$0.06	$-0.06 to $0.04	86%	83%
Safety Up	$13.39	41d	-$0.06	$-0.21 to $-0.10	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$11.39	41d	+$0.26	$0.16 to $0.25	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $3,300 this cycle

24.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,415

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,596

If assigned

-$24,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $11,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $1,200 this cycle

40.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,059

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$781

If assigned

-$11,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.18/share ($11,848 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $13.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	41d	+$0.20	$0.21 to $0.34	70%	55%
Up And Out	$13.89	41d	+$0.01	$-0.00 to $0.12	72%	59%
Ss Escape	$13.89	41d	+$0.01	$-0.00 to $0.12	72%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $36,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $5,700 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$5,029

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$1,906

If assigned

-$36,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($7,707 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	41d	+$0.13	$0.10 to $0.12	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$9.89	41d	+$0.43	$0.39 to $0.44	65%	43%
Safety Up	$12.89	41d	-$0.54	$-0.70 to $-0.61	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.