MARA @ $9.41

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares10,000
Avg cost$14.75
Drawdown-36.2%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable100
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,124 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $10 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $1,400 this cycle
11.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$4,200
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$791
If assigned
-$41,124
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.42/share ($4,188 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5017d+$0.21$0.20 to $0.2669%53%
Up And Out$10.5917d+$0.17$0.15 to $0.2170%55%
Ss Escape$12.5945d+$0.08$-0.01 to $0.1283%79%
Safety Up$13.5945d-$0.08$-0.20 to $-0.0587%85%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $32,124 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $12 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle
22.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$1,200
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
+$279
If assigned
-$32,124
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($4,884 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $11.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5017d+$0.25$0.27 to $0.3469%53%
Up And Out$12.0917d+$0.01$-0.01 to $0.0775%66%
Ss Escape$14.0945d+$0.08$0.04 to $0.1883%80%
Safety Up$14.5945d-$0.00$-0.05 to $0.0985%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,024 (premium included).
Called-away odds30%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $10 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.26 · $2,500 this cycle
6.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
70%
Income / mo
$7,500
Annualized
97%
EV / cycle
+$1,072
If assigned
-$45,024
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($3,860 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.24.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0017d+$0.20$0.17 to $0.2169%53%
Up And Out$10.0917d+$0.15$0.12 to $0.1670%55%
Ss Escape$12.0945d+$0.04$-0.08 to $0.0184%80%
Safety Up$13.5945d-$0.16$-0.34 to $-0.2190%89%
Reliable Up$11.5945d+$0.14$0.04 to $0.1281%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,824 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $12 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $2,700 this cycle
22.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,613
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$1,331
If assigned
-$29,824
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.90/share ($8,955 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $11.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5038d+$0.16$0.14 to $0.2270%54%
Ss Escape$12.0945d+$0.01$-0.05 to $0.0873%63%
Safety Up$12.5945d-$0.16$-0.24 to $-0.1076%69%
Reliable Up$11.5945d+$0.20$0.15 to $0.3070%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,324 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $13 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $1,200 this cycle
38.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$1,161
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$766
If assigned
-$16,324
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.10/share ($11,045 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $13.30.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0038d+$0.20$0.21 to $0.3470%55%
Ss Escape$13.5945d+$0.07$0.07 to $0.2673%62%
Safety Up$14.0945d-$0.11$-0.13 to $0.0875%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,724 (premium included).
Called-away odds31%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $10 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $4,800 this cycle
11.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
69%
Income / mo
$4,645
Annualized
60%
EV / cycle
+$1,819
If assigned
-$37,724
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($7,680 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5038d+$0.14$0.10 to $0.1470%54%
Ss Escape$10.5945d+$0.17$0.09 to $0.1770%56%
Safety Up$12.5945d-$0.41$-0.57 to $-0.4584%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-13 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.