MARA @ $6.67

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-54.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $66,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $800 this cycle

19.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$3,429

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$400

If assigned

-$66,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($3,674 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $8.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	14d	+$0.26	$0.25 to $0.34	68%	54%
Up And Out	$8.33	14d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.18	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$9.83	35d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.15	82%	78%
Safety Up	$10.83	35d	-$0.07	$-0.16 to $-0.01	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

49.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$857

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$270

If assigned

-$47,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($7,395 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	21d	+$0.27	$0.31 to $0.42	69%	55%
Up And Out	$10.33	21d	+$0.12	$0.13 to $0.26	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$11.83	35d	+$0.01	$0.01 to $0.20	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $71,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $1,400 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

109%

EV / cycle

+$516

If assigned

-$71,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.33/share ($3,338 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	14d	+$0.23	$0.21 to $0.27	68%	54%
Up And Out	$7.83	14d	+$0.10	$0.06 to $0.12	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$9.33	35d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.06	83%	80%
Safety Up	$10.33	35d	-$0.10	$-0.21 to $-0.09	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$8.83	35d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.20	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $55,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $9 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.24 · $2,200 this cycle

34.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,886

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,017

If assigned

-$55,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($9,331 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $9.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$9.00	42d	+$0.06	$0.03 to $0.13	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$8.83	42d	+$0.16	$0.13 to $0.24	68%	53%
Safety Up	$9.33	42d	-$0.13	$-0.19 to $-0.07	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

49.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$1,114

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$729

If assigned

-$46,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.10/share ($11,023 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $10.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.00	42d	+$0.08	$0.06 to $0.21	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$9.83	42d	+$0.18	$0.17 to $0.32	69%	54%
Safety Up	$10.33	42d	-$0.13	$-0.18 to $0.01	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $67,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.53 · $5,100 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,371

Annualized

80%

EV / cycle

+$1,470

If assigned

-$67,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($7,037 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $7.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	42d	+$0.05	$-0.01 to $0.03	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$7.33	42d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.13	68%	52%
Safety Up	$8.83	42d	-$0.42	$-0.59 to $-0.49	80%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-30 21:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.