MARA @ $6.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares10,000
Avg cost$14.75
Drawdown-54.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable100
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $66,624 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $8 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $900 this cycle
18.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$3,857
Annualized
70%
EV / cycle
+$496
If assigned
-$66,624
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($3,946 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $8.28.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.0014d+$0.27$0.26 to $0.3469%54%
Up And Out$8.2614d+$0.15$0.13 to $0.2072%60%
Ss Escape$10.2635d+$0.01$-0.07 to $0.0785%82%
Safety Up$10.7635d-$0.08$-0.18 to $-0.0387%85%
Reliable Up$10.2642d+$0.08$0.01 to $0.1484%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $9 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $57,324 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $9 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $200 this cycle
33.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$857
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$119
If assigned
-$57,324
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($4,704 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.36.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0014d+$0.33$0.34 to $0.4569%54%
Up And Out$9.7614d+$0.02$-0.01 to $0.1077%69%
Ss Escape$11.7635d+$0.00$-0.04 to $0.1285%82%
Safety Up$12.2642d-$0.01$-0.07 to $0.1086%84%
Reliable Up$11.7642d+$0.10$0.06 to $0.2285%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $70,824 (premium included).
Called-away odds25%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $8 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.17 · $1,700 this cycle
11.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
75%
Income / mo
$7,286
Annualized
132%
EV / cycle
+$708
If assigned
-$70,824
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($3,589 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $7.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5014d+$0.25$0.22 to $0.2969%54%
Up And Out$7.7614d+$0.13$0.09 to $0.1472%61%
Ss Escape$9.7642d+$0.03$-0.08 to $0.0385%83%
Safety Up$10.7635d-$0.16$-0.31 to $-0.1791%90%
Reliable Up$9.2642d+$0.13$0.04 to $0.1483%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $9 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $54,924 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $9 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $2,600 this cycle
33.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$2,229
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$1,291
If assigned
-$54,924
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.99/share ($9,932 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $9.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0042d+$0.13$0.11 to $0.2070%56%
Up And Out$9.2642d+$0.01$-0.02 to $0.0672%60%
Ss Escape$9.2642d+$0.01$-0.02 to $0.0672%60%
Safety Up$9.7642d-$0.18$-0.23 to $-0.1475%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,424 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $10 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $1,100 this cycle
55.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$943
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$676
If assigned
-$41,424
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.26/share ($12,641 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $10.85.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5042d+$0.17$0.17 to $0.3171%57%
Up And Out$10.7642d+$0.05$0.03 to $0.1672%59%
Ss Escape$10.7642d+$0.05$0.03 to $0.1672%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $66,624 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $8 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.59 / mid $0.60 · $5,900 this cycle
11.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$5,057
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
+$1,803
If assigned
-$66,624
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($7,523 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5042d+$0.10$0.06 to $0.0970%56%
Ss Escape$7.2642d+$0.21$0.18 to $0.2168%51%
Safety Up$9.7642d-$0.53$-0.71 to $-0.6288%86%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-31 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.