MARA @ $6.72

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-54.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $65,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

19.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$4,364

Annualized

79%

EV / cycle

+$721

If assigned

-$65,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($5,189 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $8.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	18d	+$0.20	$0.18 to $0.26	69%	55%
Up And Out	$8.28	18d	+$0.08	$0.04 to $0.13	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$9.28	32d	+$0.00	$-0.09 to $0.06	79%	74%
Safety Up	$10.28	39d	-$0.13	$-0.25 to $-0.08	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$9.28	39d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.17	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $42,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

20 Nov 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

56.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$667

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$278

If assigned

-$42,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.94/share ($9,427 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $10.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	25d	+$0.23	$0.27 to $0.44	70%	56%
Up And Out	$10.78	25d	+$0.10	$0.13 to $0.30	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$11.78	39d	+$0.12	$0.15 to $0.42	77%	69%
Safety Up	$12.28	39d	-$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.25	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $69,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $2,700 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$7,364

Annualized

133%

EV / cycle

+$935

If assigned

-$69,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($4,727 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $7.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	18d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.19	69%	54%
Up And Out	$7.78	18d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.06	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$8.78	39d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.04	79%	74%
Safety Up	$10.28	39d	-$0.22	$-0.40 to $-0.26	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$8.28	39d	+$0.21	$0.11 to $0.22	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $9 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $54,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $9 CALL

11 Dec 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $2,600 this cycle

33.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,000

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$1,222

If assigned

-$54,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $10 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $10 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.09 · $800 this cycle

56.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$750

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$463

If assigned

-$41,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($11,876 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $10.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$10.50	39d	+$0.18	$0.19 to $0.33	70%	57%
Up And Out	$10.78	39d	+$0.05	$0.05 to $0.17	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$10.78	39d	+$0.05	$0.05 to $0.17	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $67,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $8 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.54 · $5,200 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,875

Annualized

88%

EV / cycle

+$1,507

If assigned

-$67,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($7,064 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $7.74.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	39d	+$0.11	$0.07 to $0.10	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$7.28	39d	+$0.21	$0.18 to $0.22	68%	51%
Safety Up	$9.78	39d	-$0.51	$-0.69 to $-0.59	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.