MSTR @ $131.87

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares1,300
Blended cost$500.00
Drawdown-73.6%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable13
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $149 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $452,894 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $149 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.62 / mid $2.74 · $3,406 this cycle
13.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$9,289
Annualized
66%
EV / cycle
+$1,961
If assigned
-$452,894
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.90/share ($10,268 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $152.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$149.0018d+$2.97$2.45 to $3.8970%53%
Up And Out$154.1318d+$0.44$-0.42 to $1.1274%62%
Ss Escape$162.1332d+$0.78$-0.61 to $1.8278%69%
Safety Up$172.1332d-$2.24$-4.20 to $-1.5183%79%
Reliable Up$157.1332d+$2.76$1.66 to $3.9975%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $165 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $434,629 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $165 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.74 · $871 this cycle
25.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$2,375
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$665
If assigned
-$434,629
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.33/share ($12,133 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $169.15.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$165.0018d+$3.55$3.72 to $5.5070%53%
Up And Out$172.1318d+$0.12$-0.24 to $1.6675%63%
Ss Escape$183.1332d+$0.22$-0.37 to $2.4779%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $138 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $462,865 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $138 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $5.95 / mid $6.12 · $7,735 this cycle
4.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$21,095
Annualized
150%
EV / cycle
+$3,096
If assigned
-$462,865
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.98/share ($9,072 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $141.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$138.0018d+$2.60$1.75 to $2.4570%53%
Up And Out$143.1318d+$0.09$-1.06 to $-0.3374%63%
Ss Escape$151.1332d+$0.05$-1.89 to $-0.6378%71%
Safety Up$181.1339d-$4.76$-8.41 to $-6.1991%90%
Reliable Up$146.1332d+$1.94$0.30 to $1.4375%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $160 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $437,515 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $160 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.45 / mid $3.80 · $4,485 this cycle
21.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$4,205
Annualized
30%
EV / cycle
+$2,494
If assigned
-$437,515
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.28/share ($17,267 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $163.65.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$160.0039d-$1.09$-2.38 to $-0.3467%54%
Ss Escape$158.1339d+$0.52$-0.52 to $1.3567%52%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $175 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $420,303 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $175 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.69 / mid $1.83 · $2,197 this cycle
32.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$2,060
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$1,481
If assigned
-$420,303
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.50/share ($20,156 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $179.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$175.0039d-$1.28$-2.09 to $0.9368%55%
Ss Escape$173.1339d+$0.45$-0.09 to $2.6267%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $452,075 (premium included).
Called-away odds33%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $145 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $7.25 / mid $7.65 · $9,425 this cycle
10.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
67%
Income / mo
$8,836
Annualized
63%
EV / cycle
+$3,980
If assigned
-$452,075
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.23/share ($14,595 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $148.38.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$145.0039d-$0.91$-2.62 to $-1.3667%54%
Ss Escape$143.1339d+$0.59$-0.80 to $0.2967%51%
Safety Up$158.1339d-$5.77$-8.29 to $-6.6876%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.