MSTR @ $94.89

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $508,794 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $107 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.62 / mid $1.71 · $2,106 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,898

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$1,086

If assigned

-$508,794

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.86/share ($6,319 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $109.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	15d	+$2.56	$2.18 to $3.24	68%	53%
Up And Out	$112.11	15d	+$0.40	$-0.27 to $0.81	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$137.11	43d	+$0.21	$-1.08 to $0.71	85%	82%
Safety Up	$147.11	43d	-$1.23	$-2.78 to $-0.82	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$120.11	36d	+$2.27	$1.26 to $2.98	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $126 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $485,862 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $126 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.33 · $338 this cycle

32.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,268

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$279

If assigned

-$485,862

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.30/share ($8,184 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $129.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$126.00	15d	+$3.32	$3.60 to $5.02	68%	54%
Up And Out	$133.11	15d	+$0.05	$-0.18 to $1.53	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$166.11	43d	+$0.38	$0.01 to $2.40	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$140.11	22d	+$0.52	$0.24 to $2.29	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $516,490 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $99 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.70 / mid $3.88 · $4,810 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$18,038

Annualized

178%

EV / cycle

+$1,536

If assigned

-$516,490

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.31/share ($5,601 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $101.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$99.00	15d	+$2.27	$1.66 to $2.12	68%	53%
Up And Out	$104.11	15d	+$0.13	$-0.86 to $-0.25	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$124.11	43d	+$0.37	$-1.42 to $-0.32	84%	81%
Safety Up	$139.11	43d	-$1.69	$-3.98 to $-2.53	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$112.11	36d	+$1.58	$0.05 to $1.05	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $482,625 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $3.75 / mid $3.88 · $4,875 this cycle

31.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,401

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$2,333

If assigned

-$482,625

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $459,914 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.22 / mid $1.35 · $1,586 this cycle

52.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,322

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,008

If assigned

-$459,914

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.50/share ($21,445 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $149.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	43d	+$1.73	$1.78 to $3.62	70%	56%
Up And Out	$145.11	43d	+$1.68	$1.71 to $3.57	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$145.11	43d	+$1.68	$1.71 to $3.57	70%	56%
Safety Up	$150.11	43d	-$0.48	$-0.63 to $1.14	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $505,310 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $7.30 / mid $7.75 · $9,490 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,908

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$2,526

If assigned

-$505,310

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.71/share ($12,626 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $107.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	43d	+$1.02	$0.35 to $0.74	69%	55%
Up And Out	$104.11	43d	+$0.97	$0.30 to $0.68	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$104.11	43d	+$0.97	$0.30 to $0.68	70%	55%
Safety Up	$134.11	43d	-$7.15	$-9.52 to $-8.30	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.