MSTR @ $94.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $509,210 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $107 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.30 / mid $1.46 · $1,690 this cycle

13.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,338

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$745

If assigned

-$509,210

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.94/share ($6,416 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $109.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	15d	+$2.12	$1.61 to $2.79	68%	53%
Up And Out	$111.53	15d	+$0.11	$-0.71 to $0.57	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$132.53	43d	+$0.68	$-0.61 to $1.31	83%	79%
Safety Up	$142.53	43d	-$0.71	$-2.23 to $-0.23	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$120.53	36d	+$1.05	$-0.24 to $1.69	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $493,545 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.38 · $455 this cycle

27.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$1,706

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$319

If assigned

-$493,545

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.92/share ($7,693 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $123.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	15d	+$2.55	$2.63 to $4.13	68%	54%
Up And Out	$125.53	15d	+$0.18	$-0.06 to $1.43	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$155.53	43d	+$0.43	$0.12 to $2.17	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$133.53	36d	+$1.93	$1.68 to $3.82	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $517,725 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $98 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.25 / mid $3.55 · $4,225 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$15,844

Annualized

157%

EV / cycle

+$996

If assigned

-$517,725

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.34/share ($5,639 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $101.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$98.50	15d	+$1.87	$1.08 to $1.62	68%	53%
Up And Out	$102.53	15d	+$0.09	$-1.04 to $-0.32	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$119.03	43d	+$1.09	$-0.61 to $0.49	82%	78%
Safety Up	$139.03	43d	-$2.00	$-4.50 to $-2.88	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$109.03	43d	+$3.83	$2.57 to $3.44	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,015 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $3.45 / mid $3.65 · $4,485 this cycle

32.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,129

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,028

If assigned

-$483,015

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $150 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $453,180 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $150 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $1.40 / mid $1.50 · $1,820 this cycle

58.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,270

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,161

If assigned

-$453,180

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $503,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $8.00 / mid $8.12 · $10,400 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,256

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$3,044

If assigned

-$503,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.