MSTR @ $95.10

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $510,315 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $106 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.45 / mid $1.50 · $1,885 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$8,079

Annualized

80%

EV / cycle

+$1,061

If assigned

-$510,315

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.24/share ($5,517 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $108.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	14d	+$2.51	$2.15 to $3.04	69%	53%
Up And Out	$111.90	14d	+$0.13	$-0.53 to $0.49	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$135.90	42d	+$0.24	$-0.93 to $0.71	86%	83%
Safety Up	$145.90	42d	-$1.17	$-2.64 to $-0.86	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$120.90	28d	+$1.05	$0.14 to $1.55	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $491,101 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $122 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.25 · $299 this cycle

28.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,281

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$248

If assigned

-$491,101

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.33/share ($6,932 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $124.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$122.00	14d	+$3.16	$3.63 to $4.55	69%	53%
Up And Out	$129.90	14d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $1.31	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$161.90	42d	+$0.04	$-0.14 to $1.83	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$136.90	28d	+$2.39	$2.58 to $4.07	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $517,205 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $99 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.15 / mid $3.27 · $4,095 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$17,550

Annualized

173%

EV / cycle

+$1,434

If assigned

-$517,205

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.80/share ($4,946 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $101.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$99.00	14d	+$2.25	$1.68 to $2.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$103.90	14d	+$0.24	$-0.67 to $-0.02	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$123.90	42d	+$0.50	$-1.15 to $0.02	85%	82%
Safety Up	$138.90	42d	-$1.54	$-3.72 to $-2.22	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$112.90	35d	+$1.87	$0.54 to $1.55	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,145 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $3.35 / mid $3.45 · $4,355 this cycle

31.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,111

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,169

If assigned

-$483,145

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,388 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.24 / mid $1.40 · $1,612 this cycle

47.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,382

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,003

If assigned

-$466,388

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.42/share ($20,045 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $144.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	42d	+$1.37	$1.26 to $2.91	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$139.90	42d	+$1.41	$1.31 to $2.95	70%	56%
Safety Up	$144.90	42d	-$0.86	$-1.20 to $0.51	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $505,765 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.95 / mid $7.45 · $9,035 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,744

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$2,471

If assigned

-$505,765

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.57/share ($12,439 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $106.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	42d	+$0.82	$0.10 to $0.56	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.90	42d	+$0.87	$0.14 to $0.61	70%	55%
Safety Up	$128.90	42d	-$6.61	$-8.80 to $-7.65	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.