MSTR @ $95.75

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $509,561 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $107 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.03 / mid $1.08 · $1,339 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$5,739

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$508

If assigned

-$509,561

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.43/share ($4,459 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $109.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	14d	+$2.39	$2.21 to $3.02	66%	53%
Up And Out	$113.25	14d	+$0.14	$-0.43 to $0.45	74%	67%
Ss Escape	$136.25	42d	+$0.74	$-0.14 to $1.21	85%	83%
Safety Up	$151.25	42d	-$0.97	$-2.21 to $-0.58	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$121.25	28d	+$1.40	$0.74 to $1.90	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $119 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $494,962 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $119 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.29 · $338 this cycle

24.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,449

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$274

If assigned

-$494,962

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.08/share ($5,300 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $121.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$119.00	14d	+$2.84	$3.20 to $3.84	67%	53%
Up And Out	$126.25	14d	+$0.38	$0.35 to $1.11	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$158.25	42d	+$0.13	$-0.11 to $1.11	87%	85%
Safety Up	$163.25	42d	-$0.22	$-0.48 to $0.73	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$133.25	28d	+$2.35	$2.48 to $3.44	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $516,867 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $100 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.41 / mid $2.50 · $3,133 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$13,427

Annualized

131%

EV / cycle

+$599

If assigned

-$516,867

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.08/share ($4,000 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $102.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	14d	+$2.15	$1.78 to $2.20	66%	53%
Up And Out	$105.25	14d	+$0.28	$-0.40 to $0.10	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$129.25	42d	+$0.19	$-1.12 to $-0.16	87%	85%
Safety Up	$139.25	42d	-$1.01	$-2.64 to $-1.49	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$114.25	28d	+$0.92	$-0.06 to $0.68	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,470 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $3.10 / mid $3.23 · $4,030 this cycle

30.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,879

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,735

If assigned

-$483,470

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $459,771 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $1.33 / mid $1.47 · $1,729 this cycle

51.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,235

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$950

If assigned

-$459,771

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $505,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.20 / mid $6.72 · $8,060 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,909

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$1,607

If assigned

-$505,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.77/share ($11,395 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $107.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	42d	+$0.70	$0.01 to $0.44	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$104.25	42d	+$1.00	$0.32 to $0.77	68%	54%
Safety Up	$129.25	42d	-$5.97	$-7.98 to $-6.90	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 11:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.