MSTR @ $98.77

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $505,284 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $110 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.32 / mid $1.39 · $1,716 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,354

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$828

If assigned

-$505,284

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.17/share ($5,425 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $112.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	14d	+$2.37	$1.98 to $2.88	67%	53%
Up And Out	$115.23	14d	+$0.13	$-0.62 to $0.40	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$141.23	42d	+$0.10	$-1.11 to $0.45	86%	83%
Safety Up	$151.23	42d	-$1.10	$-2.57 to $-0.86	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$126.23	42d	+$3.33	$2.55 to $3.95	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $487,201 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.27 · $299 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,281

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$220

If assigned

-$487,201

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.14/share ($6,678 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $128.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	14d	+$2.91	$3.39 to $4.21	68%	53%
Up And Out	$132.23	14d	+$0.00	$0.02 to $1.09	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$161.23	42d	+$0.72	$0.82 to $2.25	85%	82%
Safety Up	$166.23	42d	-$0.02	$-0.07 to $1.46	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$141.23	35d	+$3.11	$3.51 to $4.70	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $512,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $103 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.08 · $3,900 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$16,714

Annualized

158%

EV / cycle

+$1,217

If assigned

-$512,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.76/share ($4,883 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $105.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	14d	+$2.14	$1.53 to $2.02	67%	53%
Up And Out	$107.23	14d	+$0.25	$-0.76 to $-0.02	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$129.23	42d	+$0.31	$-1.38 to $-0.14	85%	82%
Safety Up	$144.23	42d	-$1.46	$-3.58 to $-2.08	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$119.23	42d	+$2.56	$1.31 to $2.28	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,652 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.96 / mid $3.63 · $3,848 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,298

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,484

If assigned

-$483,652

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.76/share ($16,590 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $128.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	42d	+$0.45	$-0.39 to $1.08	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$121.23	42d	+$2.31	$1.57 to $3.16	68%	51%
Safety Up	$131.23	42d	-$2.28	$-3.33 to $-1.85	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $459,979 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.17 / mid $1.33 · $1,521 this cycle

46.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,304

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$856

If assigned

-$459,979

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.24/share ($21,116 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $148.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	42d	+$0.57	$0.08 to $2.54	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$141.23	42d	+$2.41	$2.04 to $4.59	68%	52%
Reliable Up	$146.23	42d	-$0.07	$-0.62 to $1.78	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $501,215 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $108 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.45 / mid $7.60 · $8,385 this cycle

9.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,187

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$1,598

If assigned

-$501,215

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.11/share ($13,147 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $111.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	42d	+$0.36	$-0.65 to $-0.10	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$104.23	42d	+$2.24	$1.29 to $1.88	67%	49%
Safety Up	$124.23	42d	-$5.36	$-7.31 to $-6.28	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.