MSTR @ $97.11

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $507,923 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $108 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.29 / mid $1.37 · $1,677 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,187

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$767

If assigned

-$507,923

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.98/share ($5,174 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $110.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	14d	+$2.58	$2.26 to $3.07	68%	53%
Up And Out	$113.89	14d	+$0.22	$-0.42 to $0.47	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$140.89	42d	+$0.06	$-1.11 to $0.35	87%	85%
Safety Up	$150.89	42d	-$1.17	$-2.59 to $-0.96	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$120.89	42d	+$4.40	$3.78 to $5.09	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $491,075 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $122 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.30 · $325 this cycle

25.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,393

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$237

If assigned

-$491,075

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.85/share ($6,306 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $125.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$122.00	14d	+$3.14	$3.51 to $4.35	68%	53%
Up And Out	$129.89	14d	+$0.07	$-0.22 to $1.08	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$159.89	42d	+$0.44	$-0.02 to $1.86	86%	84%
Safety Up	$164.89	42d	-$0.19	$-0.72 to $1.21	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$137.89	21d	+$0.38	$0.03 to $1.58	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $514,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $101 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.08 · $3,900 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$16,714

Annualized

161%

EV / cycle

+$1,132

If assigned

-$514,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.57/share ($4,647 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	14d	+$2.32	$1.84 to $2.23	68%	53%
Up And Out	$105.89	14d	+$0.34	$-0.51 to $0.11	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$128.89	42d	+$0.26	$-1.36 to $-0.18	86%	84%
Safety Up	$138.89	42d	-$1.09	$-3.05 to $-1.66	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$113.89	42d	+$3.56	$2.53 to $3.34	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,795 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.85 / mid $3.55 · $3,705 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,176

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,621

If assigned

-$483,795

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.04/share ($15,648 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $128.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	42d	+$1.43	$1.02 to $2.11	70%	55%
Up And Out	$127.89	42d	+$0.10	$-0.40 to $0.65	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$127.89	42d	+$0.10	$-0.40 to $0.65	71%	59%
Safety Up	$132.89	42d	-$1.74	$-2.37 to $-1.40	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $150 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $453,232 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $150 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.47 · $1,768 this cycle

54.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,263

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,135

If assigned

-$453,232

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $503,230 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $106 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.90 / mid $7.90 · $8,970 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,689

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$2,082

If assigned

-$503,230

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.26/share ($12,036 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $108.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	42d	+$1.10	$0.49 to $0.86	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.89	42d	+$2.07	$1.49 to $1.91	68%	52%
Safety Up	$133.89	42d	-$6.71	$-8.97 to $-7.82	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 22:06 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.