MSTR @ $94.61

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $513,292 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.20 · $1,508 this cycle

9.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$7,540

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$879

If assigned

-$513,292

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.52/share ($4,577 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $106.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	13d	+$2.33	$1.97 to $2.84	68%	53%
Up And Out	$109.39	13d	+$0.25	$-0.44 to $0.53	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$134.39	41d	+$0.12	$-1.12 to $0.47	87%	85%
Safety Up	$144.39	41d	-$1.00	$-2.50 to $-0.71	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$117.39	34d	+$2.13	$1.25 to $2.57	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $498,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $116 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.23 · $260 this cycle

22.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$215

If assigned

-$498,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.23/share ($5,493 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $118.52.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$116.00	13d	+$2.78	$3.17 to $3.91	68%	53%
Up And Out	$122.39	13d	+$0.17	$0.16 to $1.10	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$151.39	41d	+$0.56	$0.56 to $1.89	86%	84%
Safety Up	$156.39	41d	-$0.20	$-0.33 to $1.10	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$130.39	20d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $1.21	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $519,181 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $98 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.63 / mid $2.71 · $3,419 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$17,095

Annualized

169%

EV / cycle

+$1,231

If assigned

-$519,181

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.19/share ($4,149 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $100.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$98.00	13d	+$2.12	$1.54 to $2.03	68%	53%
Up And Out	$103.39	13d	+$0.06	$-0.92 to $-0.26	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$123.39	41d	+$0.38	$-1.24 to $-0.13	86%	83%
Safety Up	$133.39	41d	-$0.80	$-2.69 to $-1.39	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$111.39	34d	+$1.62	$0.28 to $1.21	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $490,685 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.55 / mid $2.95 · $3,315 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,925

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,364

If assigned

-$490,685

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.10/share ($14,425 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $123.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	41d	+$1.24	$0.80 to $1.86	70%	55%
Up And Out	$120.39	41d	+$1.05	$0.59 to $1.66	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$120.39	41d	+$1.05	$0.59 to $1.66	70%	56%
Safety Up	$125.39	41d	-$0.93	$-1.49 to $-0.53	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $1.50 / mid $1.55 · $1,950 this cycle

48.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,427

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,217

If assigned

-$466,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $508,040 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $103 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $6.20 / mid $6.83 · $8,060 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,112

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$1,959

If assigned

-$508,040

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.67/share ($11,266 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	41d	+$0.97	$0.35 to $0.69	69%	55%
Up And Out	$103.39	41d	+$0.78	$0.15 to $0.49	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.39	41d	+$0.78	$0.15 to $0.49	69%	55%
Safety Up	$123.39	41d	-$5.52	$-7.43 to $-6.43	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-11 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.