MSTR @ $94.90

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $513,279 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.17 / mid $1.21 · $1,521 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,605

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$825

If assigned

-$513,279

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.29/share ($4,278 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $106.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	13d	+$2.56	$2.33 to $3.07	68%	53%
Up And Out	$109.10	13d	+$0.41	$-0.13 to $0.65	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$134.10	41d	+$0.43	$-0.59 to $0.72	86%	84%
Safety Up	$144.10	41d	-$0.84	$-2.09 to $-0.62	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$117.10	34d	+$2.17	$1.39 to $2.57	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $498,914 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $116 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.26 · $286 this cycle

22.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,430

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$234

If assigned

-$498,914

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.95/share ($5,134 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $118.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$116.00	13d	+$3.06	$3.43 to $4.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$123.10	13d	+$0.19	$0.16 to $1.11	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$151.10	41d	+$0.72	$0.76 to $2.01	86%	84%
Safety Up	$156.10	41d	-$0.05	$-0.12 to $1.25	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$130.10	20d	+$0.46	$0.45 to $1.57	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $519,181 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $98 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.63 / mid $2.69 · $3,419 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$17,095

Annualized

169%

EV / cycle

+$1,101

If assigned

-$519,181

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.98/share ($3,877 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $100.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$98.00	13d	+$2.32	$1.93 to $2.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$103.10	13d	+$0.20	$-0.63 to $-0.08	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$123.10	41d	+$0.70	$-0.72 to $0.25	85%	83%
Safety Up	$138.10	41d	-$1.12	$-3.03 to $-1.75	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$111.10	34d	+$1.69	$0.46 to $1.30	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $490,685 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.55 / mid $2.95 · $3,315 this cycle

26.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,925

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,286

If assigned

-$490,685

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.08/share ($14,402 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $122.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	41d	+$1.14	$0.68 to $1.72	69%	55%
Up And Out	$120.10	41d	+$1.09	$0.63 to $1.67	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$120.10	41d	+$1.09	$0.63 to $1.67	69%	55%
Safety Up	$125.10	41d	-$1.00	$-1.60 to $-0.61	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $465,998 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $1.54 / mid $1.66 · $2,002 this cycle

47.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$1,465

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,214

If assigned

-$465,998

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $508,040 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $103 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $6.20 / mid $6.83 · $8,060 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,112

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$1,694

If assigned

-$508,040

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.66/share ($11,263 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	41d	+$0.89	$0.24 to $0.59	69%	55%
Up And Out	$103.10	41d	+$0.84	$0.19 to $0.54	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.10	41d	+$0.84	$0.19 to $0.54	69%	55%
Safety Up	$128.10	41d	-$6.19	$-8.37 to $-7.27	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-11 14:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.