MSTR @ $93.09

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $510,562 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.26 / mid $2.36 · $2,938 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$8,013

Annualized

81%

EV / cycle

+$1,961

If assigned

-$510,562

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.15/share ($7,994 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $107.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	18d	+$2.14	$1.49 to $2.75	70%	53%
Up And Out	$109.91	18d	+$0.11	$-0.71 to $0.48	75%	64%
Ss Escape	$121.91	39d	+$0.72	$-0.62 to $1.35	81%	75%
Safety Up	$131.91	39d	-$1.48	$-3.14 to $-0.94	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$116.91	39d	+$2.21	$1.03 to $2.96	78%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $124 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $488,319 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $124 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.45 · $481 this cycle

33.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,312

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$435

If assigned

-$488,319

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.12/share ($10,555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $126.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$124.00	18d	+$2.74	$3.23 to $5.02	71%	54%
Up And Out	$129.41	18d	+$0.19	$0.37 to $2.26	74%	63%
Ss Escape	$150.91	39d	+$0.10	$0.50 to $3.03	83%	78%
Reliable Up	$140.91	39d	+$2.65	$3.17 to $5.68	79%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $517,530 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $98 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.40 / mid $4.75 · $5,720 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,600

Annualized

157%

EV / cycle

+$2,692

If assigned

-$517,530

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.44/share ($7,078 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $100.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$97.50	18d	+$1.92	$1.00 to $1.70	70%	53%
Up And Out	$101.41	18d	+$0.05	$-1.15 to $-0.35	74%	63%
Ss Escape	$114.41	39d	+$0.09	$-1.88 to $-0.52	82%	77%
Safety Up	$134.41	39d	-$3.22	$-6.03 to $-4.17	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$109.41	39d	+$1.50	$-0.23 to $0.99	79%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $489,320 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $3.60 / mid $3.70 · $4,680 this cycle

28.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$2,658

If assigned

-$489,320

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $459,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $1.25 / mid $1.32 · $1,625 this cycle

55.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,250

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,206

If assigned

-$459,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $509,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $101 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $6.90 / mid $7.53 · $8,970 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$8,409

Annualized

85%

EV / cycle

+$2,994

If assigned

-$509,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.42/share ($12,248 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $103.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	39d	+$0.92	$0.15 to $0.60	71%	55%
Ss Escape	$97.91	39d	+$2.46	$1.67 to $2.21	68%	49%
Safety Up	$122.91	39d	-$6.30	$-8.43 to $-7.30	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 16:23 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.