MSTR @ $92.55

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $511,589 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.47 / mid $2.62 · $3,211 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$8,757

Annualized

89%

EV / cycle

+$2,180

If assigned

-$511,589

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.43/share ($8,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $106.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	18d	+$2.21	$1.47 to $2.58	71%	53%
Up And Out	$107.95	18d	+$0.15	$-0.88 to $0.30	74%	62%
Ss Escape	$121.45	39d	+$0.40	$-1.16 to $0.73	81%	76%
Safety Up	$131.45	39d	-$1.80	$-3.71 to $-1.65	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$116.45	39d	+$1.88	$0.49 to $2.33	79%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $124 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $488,319 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $124 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.45 · $481 this cycle

34.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,312

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$442

If assigned

-$488,319

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.62/share ($11,210 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $127.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$124.00	18d	+$2.88	$3.12 to $4.65	71%	54%
Up And Out	$129.45	18d	+$0.53	$0.46 to $1.99	76%	63%
Ss Escape	$146.45	39d	+$0.87	$0.82 to $3.13	81%	75%
Safety Up	$151.45	39d	-$0.14	$-0.33 to $2.10	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$141.45	39d	+$2.44	$2.56 to $4.70	79%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $97 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $517,920 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $97 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.60 / mid $4.92 · $5,980 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$16,309

Annualized

165%

EV / cycle

+$2,994

If assigned

-$517,920

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.73/share ($7,452 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $99.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$97.00	18d	+$2.00	$1.02 to $1.67	71%	53%
Up And Out	$100.45	18d	+$0.23	$-1.02 to $-0.24	74%	62%
Ss Escape	$109.45	39d	+$1.22	$-0.69 to $0.50	79%	72%
Safety Up	$134.45	39d	-$3.50	$-6.55 to $-4.65	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$104.45	39d	+$3.08	$1.43 to $2.51	76%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $496,275 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $115 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.25 / mid $3.83 · $4,225 this cycle

24.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,961

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$2,155

If assigned

-$496,275

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.02/share ($15,624 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $118.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	39d	+$1.13	$0.53 to $1.63	71%	55%
Ss Escape	$112.45	39d	+$2.34	$1.76 to $2.96	70%	51%
Safety Up	$122.45	39d	-$2.16	$-3.01 to $-1.98	76%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $459,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $1.25 / mid $1.32 · $1,625 this cycle

56.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,250

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,233

If assigned

-$459,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $509,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $101 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $6.90 / mid $7.53 · $8,970 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,409

Annualized

85%

EV / cycle

+$3,262

If assigned

-$509,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.76/share ($12,683 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $103.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	39d	+$0.91	$0.10 to $0.62	71%	55%
Ss Escape	$98.45	39d	+$2.18	$1.35 to $1.93	69%	50%
Safety Up	$123.45	39d	-$6.59	$-8.84 to $-7.60	87%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 19:33 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.