MSTR @ $90.92

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares1,300
Blended cost$500.00
Drawdown-81.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable13
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $512,785 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $104 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.60 · $2,015 this cycle
14.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$5,495
Annualized
57%
EV / cycle
+$956
If assigned
-$512,785
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.20/share ($6,762 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $106.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$104.0018d+$2.09$1.65 to $2.5468%54%
Up And Out$109.0818d+$0.03$-0.66 to $0.2273%64%
Ss Escape$123.0839d+$0.58$-0.50 to $0.9581%76%
Safety Up$133.0739d-$1.38$-2.77 to $-1.1886%84%
Reliable Up$118.0839d+$1.89$0.99 to $2.3678%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $493,571 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $120 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.36 · $429 this cycle
32.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$1,170
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$312
If assigned
-$493,571
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.56/share ($8,531 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $122.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$120.0018d+$2.60$2.92 to $4.3368%54%
Up And Out$126.0818d+$0.13$0.24 to $1.5173%64%
Ss Escape$144.0739d+$0.68$0.92 to $2.7981%77%
Safety Up$149.0739d-$0.30$-0.19 to $1.7183%80%
Reliable Up$138.0732d+$0.10$0.26 to $2.0679%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $96 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $520,715 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $96 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $3.45 / mid $3.60 · $4,485 this cycle
5.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$12,232
Annualized
126%
EV / cycle
+$1,379
If assigned
-$520,715
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.58/share ($5,951 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $98.50.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$96.0018d+$1.85$1.25 to $1.7068%53%
Up And Out$100.0818d+$0.12$-0.75 to $-0.1873%63%
Ss Escape$110.0839d+$1.18$-0.09 to $0.7779%74%
Safety Up$135.0739d-$2.81$-5.07 to $-3.6391%91%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $497,107 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $115 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $2.61 / mid $2.83 · $3,393 this cycle
26.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$3,181
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
+$1,448
If assigned
-$497,107
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.07/share ($14,397 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $118.25.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$115.0039d+$0.78$0.16 to $1.2969%55%
Ss Escape$114.0839d+$1.15$0.54 to $1.7169%54%
Safety Up$119.0839d-$0.87$-1.57 to $-0.5372%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,440 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $140 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $1.20 / mid $1.27 · $1,560 this cycle
54.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$1,200
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$994
If assigned
-$466,440
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $513,305 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 13 × $99 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $6.15 / mid $6.72 · $7,995 this cycle
8.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$7,495
Annualized
77%
EV / cycle
+$1,973
If assigned
-$513,305
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.73/share ($11,343 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $101.82.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$99.0039d+$0.61$-0.21 to $0.2369%55%
Ss Escape$98.0839d+$1.00$0.18 to $0.6468%53%
Safety Up$118.0839d-$5.39$-7.36 to $-6.3184%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 22:13 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.