MSTR @ $92.27

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $511,394 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.62 / mid $1.69 · $2,106 this cycle

13.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,318

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$1,083

If assigned

-$511,394

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.08/share ($6,609 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $107.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	17d	+$2.55	$2.22 to $3.03	68%	54%
Up And Out	$110.23	17d	+$0.35	$-0.24 to $0.56	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$122.73	38d	+$1.01	$0.02 to $1.41	80%	75%
Safety Up	$137.73	45d	-$1.49	$-2.98 to $-1.26	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$118.73	45d	+$1.82	$0.75 to $2.34	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $121 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $492,271 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $121 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.36 · $429 this cycle

31.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,287

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$335

If assigned

-$492,271

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.39/share ($8,304 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $124.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$121.00	17d	+$3.18	$3.42 to $4.82	69%	54%
Up And Out	$128.73	17d	+$0.04	$-0.19 to $1.30	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$148.73	38d	+$0.26	$-0.07 to $2.15	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$135.73	24d	-$0.33	$-0.68 to $1.28	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $96 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $519,805 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $96 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.65 / mid $3.88 · $4,745 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$14,235

Annualized

144%

EV / cycle

+$1,375

If assigned

-$519,805

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.45/share ($5,783 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $99.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$96.50	17d	+$2.24	$1.71 to $2.08	68%	53%
Up And Out	$101.73	17d	+$0.07	$-0.81 to $-0.29	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$114.23	38d	+$0.32	$-1.26 to $-0.31	82%	77%
Safety Up	$134.23	45d	-$2.41	$-4.86 to $-3.37	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$109.23	38d	+$1.62	$0.31 to $1.10	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $496,925 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $115 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.75 / mid $3.05 · $3,575 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,460

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$1,498

If assigned

-$496,925

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.39/share ($13,510 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $118.13.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	38d	+$1.42	$0.97 to $2.00	70%	55%
Up And Out	$117.73	38d	+$0.17	$-0.34 to $0.59	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$118.73	45d	+$1.09	$0.32 to $1.83	72%	60%
Safety Up	$122.73	38d	-$1.84	$-2.54 to $-1.60	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $473,148 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $135 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.04 / mid $1.16 · $1,352 this cycle

46.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,308

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$880

If assigned

-$473,148

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.48/share ($17,523 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $138.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	38d	+$1.84	$1.98 to $3.53	70%	56%
Up And Out	$137.73	38d	+$0.60	$0.67 to $2.20	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$139.73	45d	+$0.14	$0.16 to $2.45	71%	61%
Safety Up	$142.73	45d	-$0.18	$-0.16 to $1.95	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $511,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $101 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.70 / mid $6.28 · $7,410 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,171

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$1,571

If assigned

-$511,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.46/share ($10,994 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $103.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	38d	+$1.15	$0.56 to $0.96	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$104.73	45d	+$0.58	$-0.41 to $0.19	72%	61%
Safety Up	$123.73	45d	-$5.43	$-7.88 to $-6.56	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$101.73	45d	+$1.33	$0.23 to $0.93	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.