MSTR @ $94.53

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $508,768 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $107 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.64 / mid $1.75 · $2,132 this cycle

13.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$6,396

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$1,026

If assigned

-$508,768

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.07/share ($6,587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $109.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	17d	+$2.34	$1.95 to $2.77	68%	54%
Up And Out	$112.47	17d	+$0.37	$-0.23 to $0.54	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$127.47	38d	+$0.18	$-1.04 to $0.45	81%	77%
Safety Up	$137.47	38d	-$1.37	$-2.83 to $-1.21	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$118.47	45d	+$1.27	$-0.02 to $1.63	74%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $490,919 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $122 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.41 · $481 this cycle

29.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$1,443

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$360

If assigned

-$490,919

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.26/share ($8,142 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $125.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$122.00	17d	+$2.87	$3.04 to $4.35	68%	54%
Up And Out	$128.47	17d	+$0.02	$-0.18 to $1.11	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$147.47	38d	+$0.18	$-0.07 to $1.85	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$136.47	24d	-$0.16	$-0.40 to $1.22	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $516,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $99 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.40 / mid $3.75 · $4,420 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$13,260

Annualized

131%

EV / cycle

+$1,089

If assigned

-$516,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.48/share ($5,821 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $101.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$99.00	17d	+$2.08	$1.49 to $1.92	68%	53%
Up And Out	$104.47	17d	+$0.09	$-0.74 to $-0.23	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$114.47	38d	+$0.86	$-0.63 to $0.32	80%	75%
Safety Up	$134.47	38d	-$2.41	$-4.69 to $-3.26	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$109.47	38d	+$2.32	$1.08 to $1.91	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,925 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $2.75 / mid $2.90 · $3,575 this cycle

32.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,822

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,781

If assigned

-$483,925

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.72/share ($16,538 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $128.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	45d	-$2.13	$-3.35 to $-1.00	67%	56%
Ss Escape	$121.47	45d	+$0.63	$-0.23 to $1.80	66%	52%
Safety Up	$127.47	45d	-$2.53	$-3.68 to $-1.53	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,284 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $1.32 / mid $1.41 · $1,716 this cycle

48.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,355

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,033

If assigned

-$466,284

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $15.31/share ($19,906 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $143.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	45d	-$2.55	$-3.39 to $-0.47	67%	56%
Ss Escape	$136.47	45d	+$0.45	$0.04 to $2.44	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $504,660 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $6.80 / mid $7.03 · $8,840 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,979

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$2,504

If assigned

-$504,660

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.62/share ($12,507 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $107.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	45d	-$1.62	$-3.30 to $-2.24	66%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.47	45d	+$0.11	$-1.07 to $-0.28	66%	53%
Safety Up	$120.47	45d	-$5.44	$-7.51 to $-6.34	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.