MSTR @ $94.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares1,000

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable10

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $395,730 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $103 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.27 / mid $1.32 · $1,270 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,350

Annualized

82%

EV / cycle

+$686

If assigned

-$395,730

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.46/share ($3,465 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $105.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	13d	+$2.71	$2.35 to $3.12	68%	53%
Up And Out	$109.70	13d	+$0.08	$-0.80 to $0.24	76%	69%
Ss Escape	$128.70	41d	+$0.22	$-1.13 to $0.49	84%	82%
Safety Up	$133.70	34d	-$0.78	$-2.25 to $-0.57	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$116.70	41d	+$2.72	$1.75 to $3.15	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,780 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $116 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.24 · $220 this cycle

23.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$182

If assigned

-$383,780

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.22/share ($4,225 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $118.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$116.00	13d	+$3.26	$3.50 to $4.25	68%	53%
Up And Out	$124.70	13d	+$0.15	$-0.34 to $0.93	77%	70%
Ss Escape	$146.70	34d	+$0.11	$-0.46 to $1.32	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$130.70	20d	+$0.35	$-0.12 to $1.40	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $399,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $98 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.80 / mid $2.83 · $2,800 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$14,000

Annualized

181%

EV / cycle

+$1,050

If assigned

-$399,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.17/share ($3,165 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $99.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$97.50	13d	+$2.49	$1.99 to $2.43	68%	53%
Up And Out	$103.20	13d	+$0.24	$-0.72 to $-0.05	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$118.20	34d	+$0.27	$-1.25 to $-0.18	84%	81%
Safety Up	$133.20	34d	-$1.50	$-3.49 to $-2.09	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$111.20	41d	+$2.20	$0.87 to $1.83	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $377,280 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $120 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.72 / mid $2.78 · $2,720 this cycle

27.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,385

If assigned

-$377,280

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.69/share ($10,694 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $123.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	41d	-$0.94	$-1.87 to $-0.17	67%	55%
Up And Out	$120.70	41d	+$0.28	$-0.30 to $0.95	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$120.70	41d	+$0.28	$-0.30 to $0.95	69%	56%
Safety Up	$127.70	41d	-$2.53	$-3.39 to $-2.08	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $363,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $135 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.25 / mid $1.31 · $1,250 this cycle

43.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,103

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$794

If assigned

-$363,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.00/share ($13,000 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $138.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	41d	-$1.16	$-1.72 to $0.54	67%	56%
Up And Out	$136.70	41d	+$0.12	$-0.21 to $1.43	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$136.70	41d	+$0.12	$-0.21 to $1.43	70%	57%
Safety Up	$140.70	41d	-$0.80	$-1.16 to $0.23	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $389,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $105 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $5.80 / mid $5.95 · $5,800 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$5,118

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$1,914

If assigned

-$389,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.60/share ($8,602 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $107.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	41d	-$0.74	$-2.01 to $-1.19	66%	55%
Up And Out	$105.70	41d	+$0.18	$-0.62 to $-0.09	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$105.70	41d	+$0.18	$-0.62 to $-0.09	69%	56%
Safety Up	$125.70	41d	-$5.64	$-7.62 to $-6.48	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-18 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.