MSTR @ $96.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares1,000

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable10

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $394,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $102 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $3.60 / mid $3.83 · $3,600 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$9,818

Annualized

124%

EV / cycle

+$3,320

If assigned

-$394,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.42/share ($5,423 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $103.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	18d	+$1.44	$0.87 to $2.01	84%	51%
Up And Out	$105.70	18d	+$0.03	$-0.27 to $0.19	90%	71%
Ss Escape	$115.70	32d	+$0.03	$-0.16 to $0.30	96%	90%
Reliable Up	$112.70	39d	+$0.49	$-0.31 to $0.99	91%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $126 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $373,620 (premium included).

Called-away odds0%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $126 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.52 · $380 this cycle

30.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99+%

Income / mo

$1,036

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$380

If assigned

-$373,620

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.90/share ($8,897 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$126.00	18d	+$2.36	-	84%	52%
Up And Out	$144.70	18d	+$2.74	-	99%	94%
Ss Escape	$159.70	32d	+$0.94	-	99%	97%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $396,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $98 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.90 / mid $5.18 · $4,900 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$13,364

Annualized

169%

EV / cycle

+$3,911

If assigned

-$396,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.99/share ($4,986 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $99.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$98.50	18d	+$1.33	$0.47 to $1.11	84%	51%
Up And Out	$100.70	18d	+$0.13	$-0.56 to $-0.12	87%	64%
Ss Escape	$108.20	39d	+$0.12	$-1.12 to $-0.30	91%	82%
Reliable Up	$107.20	39d	+$1.23	$0.30 to $0.94	91%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $110 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $4.70 / mid $4.97 · $4,700 this cycle

14.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$4,406

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$4,504

If assigned

-$385,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.26/share ($10,256 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $111.13.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	39d	-$0.02	$-0.46 to $1.21	81%	52%
Ss Escape	$109.70	39d	+$0.28	$-0.14 to $1.54	81%	51%
Safety Up	$118.70	39d	-$2.94	$-3.24 to $-2.75	91%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $363,740 (premium included).

Called-away odds0%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $135 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.26 / mid $1.36 · $1,260 this cycle

40.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99+%

Income / mo

$1,181

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,260

If assigned

-$363,740

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.46/share ($16,463 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	39d	-$0.03	-	82%	53%
Up And Out	$153.70	39d	+$1.96	-	97%	84%
Ss Escape	$153.70	39d	+$1.96	-	97%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $391,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 10 × $100 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $8.10 / mid $8.30 · $8,100 this cycle

3.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$7,594

Annualized

96%

EV / cycle

+$6,375

If assigned

-$391,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.18/share ($8,175 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $101.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	39d	-$0.01	$-1.00 to $-0.36	81%	52%
Ss Escape	$99.70	39d	+$0.29	$-0.68 to $-0.03	81%	51%
Safety Up	$108.70	39d	-$3.92	$-4.19 to $-3.81	91%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-20 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.