MSTR @ $97.03

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $504,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $110 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.00 / mid $2.03 · $2,600 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$7,800

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$1,406

If assigned

-$504,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.42/share ($7,043 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $112.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	17d	+$2.21	$1.81 to $2.76	69%	53%
Up And Out	$114.97	17d	+$0.16	$-0.50 to $0.50	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$127.97	38d	+$0.47	$-0.73 to $1.02	80%	75%
Safety Up	$137.97	38d	-$1.55	$-3.09 to $-1.17	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$122.97	38d	+$2.07	$1.12 to $2.76	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $480,545 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $130 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.41 · $455 this cycle

34.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,365

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$361

If assigned

-$480,545

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.10/share ($9,226 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $132.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	17d	+$2.91	$3.44 to $4.92	69%	54%
Up And Out	$136.97	17d	+$0.03	$0.24 to $1.64	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$152.97	38d	+$0.88	$1.22 to $3.35	80%	75%
Safety Up	$157.97	38d	-$0.25	$0.06 to $2.17	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $512,330 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $102 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.90 / mid $4.03 · $5,070 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,210

Annualized

147%

EV / cycle

+$1,680

If assigned

-$512,330

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.81/share ($6,248 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $104.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	17d	+$1.95	$1.32 to $1.84	68%	53%
Up And Out	$105.97	17d	+$0.27	$-0.59 to $-0.05	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$114.97	31d	+$0.20	$-1.26 to $-0.35	79%	74%
Safety Up	$134.97	31d	-$3.10	$-5.52 to $-4.05	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$114.97	38d	+$1.36	$-0.04 to $0.90	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $490,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.12 · $3,900 this cycle

23.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,774

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$1,895

If assigned

-$490,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.25/share ($13,330 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $123.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	38d	+$1.06	$0.52 to $1.72	69%	55%
Up And Out	$121.97	38d	+$0.16	$-0.45 to $0.74	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$121.97	38d	+$0.16	$-0.45 to $0.74	70%	57%
Safety Up	$129.97	38d	-$2.83	$-3.75 to $-2.51	75%	68%
Reliable Up	$120.97	38d	+$0.51	$-0.09 to $1.14	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,596 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.08 / mid $1.14 · $1,404 this cycle

44.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,359

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$928

If assigned

-$466,596

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.23/share ($17,202 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $143.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	38d	+$1.36	$1.48 to $3.13	69%	55%
Up And Out	$142.97	38d	+$0.12	$0.15 to $1.82	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$142.97	38d	+$0.12	$0.15 to $1.82	71%	58%
Safety Up	$144.97	38d	-$0.65	$-0.70 to $0.95	72%	60%
Reliable Up	$143.97	38d	-$0.30	$-0.31 to $1.36	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $504,855 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $6.65 / mid $6.83 · $8,645 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,366

Annualized

81%

EV / cycle

+$2,733

If assigned

-$504,855

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.26/share ($10,735 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $107.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	38d	+$0.86	$0.16 to $0.59	69%	54%
Up And Out	$105.97	38d	+$0.33	$-0.43 to $0.01	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$105.97	38d	+$0.33	$-0.43 to $0.01	69%	56%
Safety Up	$132.97	38d	-$6.36	$-8.73 to $-7.46	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.