MSTR @ $99.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $113 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $501,112 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $113 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.53 / mid $1.61 · $1,988 this cycle

13.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$5,965

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$809

If assigned

-$501,112

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.69/share ($6,093 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $116.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$113.00	17d	+$2.13	$1.81 to $2.59	67%	53%
Up And Out	$118.67	17d	+$0.01	$-0.60 to $0.31	73%	65%
Ss Escape	$133.67	38d	+$0.19	$-0.89 to $0.65	81%	77%
Safety Up	$138.67	38d	-$0.83	$-2.08 to $-0.45	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$128.67	38d	+$1.03	$0.06 to $1.55	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $132 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $477,943 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $132 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.37 · $457 this cycle

32.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,371

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$342

If assigned

-$477,943

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.02/share ($7,832 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $136.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$132.00	17d	+$2.75	$3.00 to $4.17	67%	54%
Up And Out	$138.67	17d	+$0.21	$0.04 to $1.22	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$157.67	38d	+$0.38	$0.06 to $1.90	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $510,445 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $104 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.35 / mid $3.53 · $4,355 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$13,065

Annualized

123%

EV / cycle

+$762

If assigned

-$510,445

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.11/share ($5,341 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $106.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	17d	+$1.86	$1.37 to $1.81	67%	53%
Up And Out	$108.67	17d	+$0.13	$-0.61 to $-0.15	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$119.67	38d	+$0.44	$-0.93 to $-0.06	79%	75%
Safety Up	$139.67	38d	-$2.47	$-4.63 to $-3.26	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$114.67	38d	+$1.75	$0.62 to $1.40	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $484,419 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.37 / mid $2.46 · $3,081 this cycle

25.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,982

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,342

If assigned

-$484,419

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.81/share ($12,749 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $128.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	38d	+$0.81	$0.26 to $1.40	68%	55%
Up And Out	$126.67	38d	+$0.07	$-0.54 to $0.58	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$126.67	38d	+$0.07	$-0.54 to $0.58	69%	57%
Safety Up	$132.67	38d	-$2.15	$-3.03 to $-1.85	73%	64%
Reliable Up	$125.67	38d	+$0.76	$0.26 to $1.32	68%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $466,622 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.15 · $1,378 this cycle

40.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,334

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$776

If assigned

-$466,622

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.83/share ($15,381 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $143.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	38d	+$0.97	$0.87 to $2.60	68%	55%
Up And Out	$141.67	38d	+$0.22	$0.04 to $1.81	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$141.67	38d	+$0.22	$0.04 to $1.81	69%	57%
Safety Up	$144.67	38d	-$0.94	$-1.22 to $0.52	70%	60%
Reliable Up	$142.67	38d	-$0.14	$-0.34 to $1.43	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $500,175 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $110 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.25 / mid $5.40 · $6,825 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,605

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$1,748

If assigned

-$500,175

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.96/share ($10,354 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $112.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	38d	+$0.66	$-0.03 to $0.52	67%	54%
Up And Out	$110.67	38d	+$0.57	$-0.07 to $0.44	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$110.67	38d	+$0.57	$-0.07 to $0.44	68%	56%
Safety Up	$130.67	38d	-$5.01	$-6.72 to $-5.65	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 12:01 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.