MSTR @ $101.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-79.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $498,056 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $115 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.88 / mid $1.94 · $2,444 this cycle

13.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$7,332

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$1,179

If assigned

-$498,056

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.56/share ($7,229 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $117.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	17d	+$2.15	$1.74 to $2.75	68%	53%
Up And Out	$118.85	17d	+$0.61	$0.04 to $1.05	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$133.85	38d	+$0.18	$-1.00 to $0.76	80%	75%
Safety Up	$138.85	31d	-$1.52	$-2.80 to $-1.12	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$128.85	31d	+$0.79	$-0.10 to $1.41	79%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $132 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $477,958 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $132 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.43 · $442 this cycle

30.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$1,326

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$283

If assigned

-$477,958

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.94/share ($9,020 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $135.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$132.00	17d	+$2.70	$2.94 to $4.54	68%	54%
Up And Out	$137.85	17d	+$0.38	$0.27 to $1.77	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$150.85	31d	+$0.42	$0.23 to $2.37	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$150.85	38d	+$1.46	$1.27 to $3.59	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $507,195 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $106 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.85 / mid $4.10 · $5,005 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$15,015

Annualized

139%

EV / cycle

+$1,280

If assigned

-$507,195

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.89/share ($6,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $108.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	17d	+$1.88	$1.21 to $1.71	68%	53%
Up And Out	$109.85	17d	+$0.34	$-0.54 to $0.03	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$119.85	31d	+$0.17	$-1.28 to $-0.33	80%	74%
Safety Up	$139.85	31d	-$3.20	$-5.71 to $-4.13	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$114.85	31d	+$1.52	$0.30 to $1.16	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $483,470 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $3.10 / mid $3.17 · $4,030 this cycle

23.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,900

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$2,016

If assigned

-$483,470

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.60/share ($13,781 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $128.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	38d	+$0.16	$-0.70 to $0.75	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$124.85	38d	+$0.23	$-0.62 to $0.82	68%	55%
Safety Up	$131.85	38d	-$2.71	$-3.92 to $-2.35	72%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $460,135 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $145 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.05 / mid $1.18 · $1,365 this cycle

43.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,321

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$892

If assigned

-$460,135

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.56/share ($17,632 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $148.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	38d	+$0.18	$-0.20 to $1.65	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$144.85	38d	+$0.25	$-0.12 to $1.72	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $498,485 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $110 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $6.55 / mid $6.78 · $8,515 this cycle

8.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$8,240

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$2,696

If assigned

-$498,485

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.61/share ($11,190 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $112.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	38d	+$0.14	$-0.92 to $-0.22	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$109.85	38d	+$0.21	$-0.84 to $-0.15	68%	54%
Safety Up	$128.85	38d	-$5.21	$-7.17 to $-6.08	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 21:45 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.