MSTR @ $100.85

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-79.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $114 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,284 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $114 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.72 / mid $1.81 · $516 this cycle

13.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,720

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$275

If assigned

-$115,284

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.16/share ($1,547 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $117.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$114.00	16d	+$2.40	$2.06 to $3.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$119.15	16d	+$0.26	$-0.39 to $0.70	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$133.15	37d	+$0.55	$-0.55 to $1.23	81%	76%
Safety Up	$143.15	37d	-$1.53	$-3.04 to $-0.91	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$128.15	37d	+$1.42	$0.43 to $2.12	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $132 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,310 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $132 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.39 · $90 this cycle

30.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$70

If assigned

-$110,310

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.56/share ($1,969 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $135.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$132.00	16d	+$3.05	$3.58 to $4.92	68%	54%
Up And Out	$139.15	16d	+$0.13	$0.22 to $1.91	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$156.15	37d	+$0.41	$0.55 to $3.00	81%	76%
Reliable Up	$161.15	37d	-$0.47	$-0.36 to $2.12	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,285 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $105 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $4.05 / mid $4.12 · $1,215 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,050

Annualized

163%

EV / cycle

+$454

If assigned

-$117,285

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.51/share ($1,354 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $107.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	16d	+$2.11	$1.46 to $1.97	68%	53%
Up And Out	$109.15	16d	+$0.38	$-0.52 to $0.05	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$119.15	30d	+$0.17	$-1.37 to $-0.39	80%	75%
Safety Up	$144.15	37d	-$2.90	$-5.49 to $-3.83	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$114.15	37d	+$2.42	$1.07 to $2.02	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,645 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $2.85 / mid $2.95 · $855 this cycle

23.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$855

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$429

If assigned

-$111,645

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.25/share ($3,076 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $128.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	37d	+$1.00	$0.49 to $1.65	69%	55%
Up And Out	$127.15	37d	+$0.04	$-0.55 to $0.58	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$127.15	37d	+$0.04	$-0.55 to $0.58	70%	58%
Safety Up	$134.15	37d	-$2.43	$-3.28 to $-2.14	75%	66%
Reliable Up	$126.15	37d	+$0.50	$-0.05 to $1.10	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $145 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $106,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $145 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.00 / mid $1.08 · $300 this cycle

43.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$204

If assigned

-$106,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.13/share ($3,938 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $148.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$145.00	37d	+$1.28	$1.30 to $3.00	69%	55%
Up And Out	$147.15	37d	+$0.31	$0.27 to $1.91	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$147.15	37d	+$0.31	$0.27 to $1.91	70%	57%
Reliable Up	$148.15	37d	-$0.11	$-0.19 to $1.43	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $110 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $6.30 / mid $6.45 · $1,890 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,890

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$617

If assigned

-$115,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.32/share ($2,497 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $112.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	37d	+$0.82	$0.09 to $0.56	68%	54%
Up And Out	$111.15	37d	+$0.31	$-0.45 to $0.02	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$111.15	37d	+$0.31	$-0.45 to $0.02	69%	56%
Safety Up	$134.15	37d	-$5.94	$-8.16 to $-6.94	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$110.15	37d	+$0.68	$-0.08 to $0.41	68%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.