MSTR @ $99.60

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $112 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $112 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.75 / mid $1.84 · $525 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,750

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$265

If assigned

-$115,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.17/share ($1,550 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $114.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$112.00	16d	+$2.00	$1.52 to $2.62	68%	53%
Up And Out	$116.40	16d	+$0.14	$-0.59 to $0.54	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$127.40	30d	+$0.07	$-1.06 to $0.59	80%	75%
Safety Up	$137.40	37d	-$1.51	$-3.12 to $-1.12	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$122.40	37d	+$2.07	$1.02 to $2.72	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,904 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.35 · $96 this cycle

30.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$320

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$74

If assigned

-$110,904

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.58/share ($1,974 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $133.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	16d	+$2.58	$3.03 to $4.36	68%	54%
Up And Out	$135.40	16d	+$0.45	$0.45 to $1.97	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$150.40	30d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $2.04	80%	75%
Reliable Up	$150.40	37d	+$1.27	$1.19 to $3.34	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,690 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $104 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $3.70 / mid $3.93 · $1,110 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$3,700

Annualized

151%

EV / cycle

+$343

If assigned

-$117,690

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.59/share ($1,377 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $106.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	16d	+$1.77	$1.05 to $1.64	68%	53%
Up And Out	$107.40	16d	+$0.36	$-0.57 to $0.05	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$119.40	37d	+$0.02	$-1.84 to $-0.58	79%	75%
Safety Up	$134.40	30d	-$2.73	$-5.12 to $-3.57	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$114.40	37d	+$1.48	$-0.08 to $0.98	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,717 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $2.61 / mid $2.71 · $783 this cycle

25.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$783

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$420

If assigned

-$111,717

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.56/share ($3,168 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $128.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	37d	+$0.74	$0.11 to $1.43	68%	55%
Up And Out	$126.40	37d	+$0.65	$0.11 to $1.26	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$126.40	37d	+$0.65	$0.11 to $1.26	70%	57%
Safety Up	$132.40	37d	-$2.47	$-3.44 to $-2.03	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,652 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.23 · $348 this cycle

40.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$348

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$229

If assigned

-$107,652

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.76/share ($3,827 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $143.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$140.00	37d	+$0.87	$0.70 to $2.58	69%	55%
Up And Out	$141.40	37d	+$0.89	$0.75 to $2.43	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$141.40	37d	+$0.89	$0.75 to $2.43	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,305 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $110 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $5.65 / mid $5.88 · $1,695 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,695

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$577

If assigned

-$115,305

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.56/share ($2,568 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $112.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$110.00	37d	+$0.62	$-0.22 to $0.44	68%	54%
Up And Out	$111.40	37d	+$0.42	$-0.29 to $0.25	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$111.40	37d	+$0.42	$-0.29 to $0.25	70%	57%
Safety Up	$130.40	37d	-$5.43	$-7.38 to $-6.13	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.