MSTR @ $100.32

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-79.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $112 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,926 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $112 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.58 / mid $1.67 · $474 this cycle
11.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$1,778
Annualized
72%
EV / cycle
+$252
If assigned
-$115,926
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.63/share ($1,388 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $114.94.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$112.0015d+$2.32$1.98 to $2.9868%53%
Up And Out$116.6815d+$0.43$-0.20 to $0.7773%64%
Ss Escape$131.6836d+$0.19$-1.03 to $0.6182%78%
Safety Up$141.6836d-$1.50$-2.99 to $-1.2287%85%
Reliable Up$126.6836d+$1.39$0.35 to $1.9279%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,916 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $130 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $84 this cycle
29.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$315
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$70
If assigned
-$110,916
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.90/share ($1,771 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $133.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$130.0015d+$2.99$3.36 to $4.6868%53%
Up And Out$137.6815d+$0.02$-0.01 to $1.6375%67%
Ss Escape$154.6836d+$0.23$0.14 to $2.5281%77%
Reliable Up$164.6836d-$1.19$-1.31 to $1.1186%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,480 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $105 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.40 / mid $3.50 · $1,020 this cycle
4.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$3,825
Annualized
155%
EV / cycle
+$374
If assigned
-$117,480
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.17/share ($1,251 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $107.73.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$105.0015d+$2.09$1.51 to $2.0568%53%
Up And Out$109.6815d+$0.19$-0.64 to $-0.0674%65%
Ss Escape$119.6829d+$0.01$-1.44 to $-0.4481%76%
Safety Up$139.6836d-$2.29$-4.50 to $-3.0991%90%
Reliable Up$114.6836d+$2.41$1.24 to $2.1276%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,651 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $125 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $2.83 / mid $3.19 · $849 this cycle
24.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$708
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
+$356
If assigned
-$111,651
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,592 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $140 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.54 · $408 this cycle
39.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$340
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$251
If assigned
-$107,592
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $110 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,065 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $110 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $6.45 / mid $6.83 · $1,935 this cycle
9.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$1,612
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$582
If assigned
-$115,065
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.