MSTR @ $96.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,207 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $108 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.31 / mid $1.36 · $393 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,474

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$189

If assigned

-$117,207

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.49/share ($1,346 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $110.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	15d	+$2.01	$1.64 to $2.62	68%	53%
Up And Out	$112.74	15d	+$0.09	$-0.56 to $0.40	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$122.74	36d	+$0.24	$-0.91 to $0.66	78%	73%
Safety Up	$131.74	36d	-$0.59	$-1.78 to $-0.22	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$121.74	36d	+$0.77	$-0.29 to $1.23	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,316 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $122 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.33 · $84 this cycle

26.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$315

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$61

If assigned

-$113,316

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.47/share ($1,642 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $125.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$122.00	15d	+$2.46	$2.66 to $3.94	68%	53%
Up And Out	$127.74	15d	+$0.20	$0.04 to $1.41	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$145.74	36d	+$0.40	$0.13 to $2.10	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$140.74	36d	+$0.87	$0.65 to $2.61	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,815 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $101 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $2.95 / mid $3.15 · $885 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$3,319

Annualized

140%

EV / cycle

+$280

If assigned

-$118,815

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.03/share ($1,208 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	15d	+$1.80	$1.17 to $1.74	67%	53%
Up And Out	$104.74	15d	+$0.16	$-0.77 to $-0.11	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$114.74	29d	+$0.08	$-1.32 to $-0.32	80%	75%
Safety Up	$134.74	36d	-$2.25	$-4.43 to $-2.91	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$109.74	36d	+$1.41	$-0.04 to $1.00	74%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,118 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $2.94 / mid $3.22 · $882 this cycle

24.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$735

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$391

If assigned

-$113,118

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.51/share ($3,454 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $123.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	43d	-$4.16	$-6.10 to $-3.44	64%	55%
Ss Escape	$111.74	43d	+$0.32	$-1.09 to $1.35	60%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,487 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.71 / mid $2.25 · $513 this cycle

35.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$428

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$274

If assigned

-$110,487

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $13.15/share ($3,944 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $133.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	43d	-$4.75	$-6.29 to $-3.08	64%	55%
Ss Escape	$120.74	43d	+$0.49	$-0.59 to $2.49	60%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $105 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $5.30 / mid $6.57 · $1,590 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,325

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$197

If assigned

-$116,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.26/share ($2,777 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $107.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	43d	-$3.34	$-5.90 to $-4.55	64%	55%
Ss Escape	$97.74	43d	+$0.41	$-1.60 to $-0.51	58%	42%
Safety Up	$109.74	43d	-$5.23	$-8.26 to $-6.63	68%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.