MSTR @ $94.83

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $511,719 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $105 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.37 / mid $1.44 · $1,781 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,633

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$986

If assigned

-$511,719

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.08/share ($5,301 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $107.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	14d	+$2.39	$2.04 to $2.87	68%	53%
Up And Out	$110.17	14d	+$0.19	$-0.49 to $0.41	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$124.17	42d	+$0.36	$-0.86 to $0.66	81%	77%
Safety Up	$130.18	35d	-$0.88	$-2.28 to $-0.72	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$120.17	35d	+$1.01	$-0.01 to $1.36	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $493,701 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.24 · $299 this cycle

26.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$1,281

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$279

If assigned

-$493,701

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.07/share ($6,596 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $123.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	14d	+$2.98	$3.32 to $4.31	69%	53%
Up And Out	$126.17	14d	+$0.20	$0.28 to $1.35	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$145.18	35d	+$0.10	$0.11 to $1.72	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$140.18	28d	+$0.05	$0.06 to $1.59	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $98 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $517,985 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $98 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.05 / mid $3.17 · $3,965 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$16,993

Annualized

168%

EV / cycle

+$1,378

If assigned

-$517,985

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.68/share ($4,781 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $101.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$98.50	14d	+$2.16	$1.60 to $2.03	68%	53%
Up And Out	$102.67	14d	+$0.11	$-0.90 to $-0.23	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$115.67	35d	+$0.02	$-1.62 to $-0.52	82%	78%
Safety Up	$133.68	35d	-$2.22	$-4.51 to $-2.93	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$109.67	35d	+$1.48	$0.15 to $1.09	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $490,828 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $120 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.44 / mid $2.63 · $3,172 this cycle

26.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,719

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$1,503

If assigned

-$490,828

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.59/share ($13,771 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $123.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	42d	-$2.59	$-3.88 to $-1.79	65%	55%
Ss Escape	$114.17	42d	+$0.59	$-0.38 to $1.59	62%	47%
Safety Up	$121.17	42d	-$0.88	$-1.67 to $-0.23	68%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $473,057 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $135 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.11 / mid $1.21 · $1,443 this cycle

42.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,237

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$896

If assigned

-$473,057

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.90/share ($16,770 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $138.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	42d	-$3.15	$-3.71 to $-0.83	65%	55%
Ss Escape	$129.18	42d	+$0.19	$-0.11 to $2.85	63%	49%
Safety Up	$136.18	42d	-$0.98	$-1.25 to $0.92	69%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $508,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $103 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.00 / mid $6.47 · $7,800 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,686

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$1,967

If assigned

-$508,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.24/share ($10,714 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $105.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	42d	-$2.01	$-3.86 to $-2.86	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$98.17	42d	+$0.42	$-1.08 to $-0.25	61%	46%
Safety Up	$122.17	42d	-$5.69	$-7.86 to $-6.74	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.