MSTR @ $92.22

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $500.00 (1,000 sh) · U10001299 $500.00 (300 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares1,300

Blended cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable13

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $515,671 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $102 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.33 / mid $1.40 · $1,729 this cycle

10.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$7,410

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$831

If assigned

-$515,671

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.97/share ($5,163 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $104.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	14d	+$2.05	$1.65 to $2.55	68%	53%
Up And Out	$106.78	14d	+$0.07	$-0.61 to $0.36	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$120.78	35d	+$0.08	$-1.05 to $0.45	82%	78%
Safety Up	$129.78	35d	-$1.02	$-2.30 to $-0.78	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$113.78	28d	+$0.92	$0.05 to $1.37	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $498,914 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $116 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.26 · $286 this cycle

25.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,226

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$213

If assigned

-$498,914

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.89/share ($6,360 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $118.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$116.00	14d	+$2.54	$2.74 to $3.85	68%	53%
Up And Out	$121.78	14d	+$0.20	$-0.12 to $1.36	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$138.78	35d	+$0.22	$-0.25 to $1.85	82%	78%
Safety Up	$143.78	35d	-$0.07	$-0.56 to $1.51	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $96 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $521,378 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $96 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.94 / mid $3.04 · $3,822 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$16,380

Annualized

166%

EV / cycle

+$1,262

If assigned

-$521,378

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.60/share ($4,686 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $98.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$96.00	14d	+$1.85	$1.25 to $1.72	68%	53%
Up And Out	$100.28	14d	+$0.01	$-0.99 to $-0.29	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$113.78	35d	+$0.01	$-1.59 to $-0.48	82%	79%
Safety Up	$128.78	35d	-$2.00	$-4.22 to $-2.68	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$106.78	35d	+$1.78	$0.56 to $1.48	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $497,133 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $115 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.59 / mid $2.90 · $3,367 this cycle

24.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,886

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,361

If assigned

-$497,133

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.38/share ($13,490 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $117.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	42d	-$2.75	$-4.17 to $-2.18	65%	55%
Ss Escape	$108.78	42d	+$1.02	$0.02 to $1.85	62%	46%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $485,459 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $125 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.57 / mid $1.79 · $2,041 this cycle

35.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$1,749

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$1,090

If assigned

-$485,459

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.92/share ($15,490 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $127.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	42d	-$3.14	$-4.16 to $-1.55	65%	55%
Ss Escape	$118.78	42d	+$0.77	$0.10 to $2.49	63%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $511,875 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 13 × $100 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $6.25 / mid $6.58 · $8,125 this cycle

8.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$6,964

Annualized

71%

EV / cycle

+$2,205

If assigned

-$511,875

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.26/share ($10,736 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $102.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	42d	-$2.21	$-4.10 to $-3.09	65%	54%
Ss Escape	$95.78	42d	+$0.10	$-1.42 to $-0.57	62%	46%
Safety Up	$121.78	42d	-$6.12	$-8.52 to $-7.30	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 21:43 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.