MSTR @ $92.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-81.6%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,301 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $101 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.33 / mid $1.36 · $399 this cycle
9.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,995
Annualized
88%
EV / cycle
+$217
If assigned
-$119,301
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.66/share ($1,097 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $103.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$101.0013d+$2.07$1.64 to $2.4368%53%
Up And Out$105.8413d+$0.13$-0.62 to $0.3274%66%
Ss Escape$122.8441d+$0.12$-1.24 to $0.3083%80%
Safety Up$128.8434d-$1.16$-2.68 to $-1.0988%86%
Reliable Up$116.8434d+$0.89$-0.23 to $1.1480%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,440 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $115 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $60 this cycle
24.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$300
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$51
If assigned
-$115,440
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.52/share ($1,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $117.80.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$115.0013d+$2.58$2.57 to $3.7368%53%
Up And Out$121.3413d+$0.15$-0.02 to $1.2175%67%
Ss Escape$137.8434d+$0.30$-0.08 to $1.7182%79%
Reliable Up$137.8441d-$0.12$-0.63 to $1.3680%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $96 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $120,405 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $96 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.65 / mid $2.71 · $795 this cycle
4.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$3,975
Annualized
175%
EV / cycle
+$300
If assigned
-$120,405
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.37/share ($1,011 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $98.50.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$96.0013d+$1.91$1.31 to $1.8768%53%
Up And Out$100.3413d+$0.09$-0.88 to $-0.1774%65%
Ss Escape$113.8434d+$0.16$-1.37 to $-0.2683%79%
Safety Up$128.8434d-$2.00$-4.18 to $-2.5791%91%
Reliable Up$108.8434d+$1.28$-0.03 to $0.9879%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $114 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,005 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $114 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.65 / mid $2.92 · $795 this cycle
23.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$701
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$349
If assigned
-$115,005
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.84/share ($2,953 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $117.03.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$114.0041d-$2.87$-4.51 to $-2.2664%55%
Ss Escape$111.8441d+$1.08$0.40 to $1.6666%52%
Safety Up$118.8441d-$2.15$-3.19 to $-1.8071%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,679 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $130 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.07 / mid $1.26 · $321 this cycle
41.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$283
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$195
If assigned
-$110,679
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.26/share ($3,678 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $132.93.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$130.0041d-$3.58$-4.35 to $-1.3965%55%
Ss Escape$127.8441d+$1.09$0.87 to $2.7667%53%
Safety Up$131.8441d-$0.77$-1.13 to $0.8169%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,215 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $100 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $5.95 / mid $6.33 · $1,785 this cycle
8.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$1,575
Annualized
69%
EV / cycle
+$494
If assigned
-$118,215
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.94/share ($2,381 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $102.51.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$100.0041d-$2.31$-4.26 to $-3.1364%54%
Ss Escape$97.8441d+$1.07$0.22 to $0.7466%51%
Safety Up$121.8441d-$5.83$-8.04 to $-6.8486%84%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-25 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.