MSTR @ $98.84

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $112 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,893 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $112 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.69 / mid $1.75 · $507 this cycle

13.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,521

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$274

If assigned

-$115,893

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.22/share ($1,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $114.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$112.00	17d	+$1.94	$1.53 to $2.58	68%	53%
Up And Out	$116.16	17d	+$0.12	$-0.51 to $0.57	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$128.16	38d	+$0.67	$-0.37 to $1.32	79%	74%
Safety Up	$138.16	38d	-$1.53	$-2.95 to $-1.12	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,359 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.49 · $141 this cycle

26.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$423

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$106

If assigned

-$112,359

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.25/share ($1,874 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $128.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	17d	+$2.33	$2.60 to $4.14	68%	53%
Up And Out	$130.16	17d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $1.76	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$146.16	38d	+$0.16	$-0.15 to $2.34	80%	76%
Reliable Up	$141.16	38d	+$1.74	$1.70 to $4.01	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,705 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $104 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.65 / mid $3.80 · $1,095 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$3,285

Annualized

135%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

-$117,705

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.63/share ($1,389 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $106.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	17d	+$1.71	$1.06 to $1.61	68%	53%
Up And Out	$107.16	17d	+$0.45	$-0.33 to $0.22	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$120.16	38d	+$0.10	$-1.47 to $-0.39	81%	76%
Safety Up	$140.16	38d	-$3.00	$-5.43 to $-3.83	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$115.16	38d	+$1.42	$0.06 to $1.04	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,687 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $2.71 / mid $2.93 · $813 this cycle

26.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$642

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$370

If assigned

-$111,687

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,616 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $140 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $1.28 / mid $1.42 · $384 this cycle

41.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$303

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$234

If assigned

-$107,616

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,145 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $107 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.85 / mid $6.22 · $1,755 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,698

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$484

If assigned

-$116,145

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.12/share ($2,435 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $109.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	38d	+$0.55	$-0.26 to $0.20	68%	54%
Up And Out	$108.16	38d	+$0.27	$-0.47 to $-0.07	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$108.16	38d	+$0.27	$-0.47 to $-0.07	70%	56%
Safety Up	$128.16	38d	-$5.65	$-7.76 to $-6.68	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.