MSTR @ $95.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,898 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $108 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.34 / mid $2.46 · $702 this cycle

13.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,106

Annualized

90%

EV / cycle

+$482

If assigned

-$116,898

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.82/share ($2,046 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $110.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	17d	+$2.03	$1.33 to $2.74	71%	53%
Up And Out	$111.70	17d	+$0.17	$-0.72 to $0.68	75%	61%
Ss Escape	$122.70	38d	+$0.96	$-0.47 to $1.69	80%	73%
Safety Up	$132.70	38d	-$2.29	$-4.36 to $-1.80	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$119.70	38d	+$1.11	$-0.40 to $1.83	78%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,371 (premium included).

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.46 · $129 this cycle

31.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$387

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$114

If assigned

-$112,371

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.67/share ($2,600 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $128.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	17d	+$2.60	$3.02 to $5.13	72%	54%
Up And Out	$129.70	17d	+$0.33	$0.55 to $2.61	75%	62%
Ss Escape	$143.70	38d	+$0.49	$0.70 to $3.66	80%	73%
Reliable Up	$144.70	38d	-$0.14	$-0.08 to $3.02	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,485 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $100 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $5.05 / mid $5.17 · $1,515 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,545

Annualized

193%

EV / cycle

+$807

If assigned

-$118,485

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.03/share ($1,808 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $102.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	17d	+$1.79	$0.74 to $1.48	71%	53%
Up And Out	$102.70	17d	+$0.42	$-0.77 to $-0.03	74%	60%
Ss Escape	$114.70	38d	+$0.23	$-1.91 to $-0.56	81%	75%
Safety Up	$129.70	31d	-$3.96	$-7.07 to $-5.16	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$107.70	38d	+$1.94	$-0.05 to $1.22	76%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,169 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.77 / mid $2.99 · $831 this cycle

25.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$804

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$488

If assigned

-$113,169

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.19/share ($3,658 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $123.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	38d	+$0.73	$-0.00 to $1.57	71%	55%
Up And Out	$120.70	38d	+$0.58	$-0.12 to $1.37	72%	56%
Ss Escape	$120.70	38d	+$0.58	$-0.12 to $1.37	72%	56%
Safety Up	$126.70	38d	-$2.41	$-3.41 to $-1.94	75%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,131 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.23 / mid $1.30 · $369 this cycle

41.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$357

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$278

If assigned

-$109,131

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.85/share ($4,454 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $138.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	38d	+$0.88	$0.70 to $3.03	71%	55%
Up And Out	$135.70	38d	+$0.78	$0.61 to $2.84	72%	56%
Ss Escape	$135.70	38d	+$0.78	$0.61 to $2.84	72%	56%
Safety Up	$138.70	38d	-$1.12	$-1.42 to $0.83	73%	59%
Reliable Up	$136.70	38d	-$0.07	$-0.29 to $2.02	72%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,835 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.55 / mid $7.85 · $2,265 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,192

Annualized

93%

EV / cycle

+$994

If assigned

-$116,835

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.49/share ($2,847 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	38d	+$0.57	$-0.39 to $0.17	71%	54%
Up And Out	$103.70	38d	+$0.37	$-0.54 to $-0.02	71%	55%
Ss Escape	$103.70	38d	+$0.37	$-0.54 to $-0.02	71%	55%
Safety Up	$127.70	38d	-$7.24	$-9.94 to $-8.50	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 11:55 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.