MSTR @ $95.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-80.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,898 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $108 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $2.34 / mid $2.46 · $702 this cycle
13.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,106
Annualized
89%
EV / cycle
+$476
If assigned
-$116,898
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.72/share ($2,017 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $110.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$108.0017d+$2.02$1.32 to $2.6871%53%
Up And Out$111.5617d+$0.25$-0.63 to $0.7075%61%
Ss Escape$122.5638d+$1.02$-0.38 to $1.6580%73%
Safety Up$132.5638d-$2.22$-4.24 to $-1.8085%82%
Reliable Up$119.5638d+$1.17$-0.32 to $1.8178%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,371 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $125 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.46 · $129 this cycle
31.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$387
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
+$113
If assigned
-$112,371
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.54/share ($2,562 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $128.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$125.0017d+$2.58$2.98 to $5.0571%54%
Up And Out$129.5617d+$0.41$0.62 to $2.6175%61%
Ss Escape$143.5638d+$0.55$0.68 to $3.6180%73%
Reliable Up$144.5638d-$0.08$-0.08 to $2.9580%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,485 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $100 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $5.05 / mid $5.17 · $1,515 this cycle
4.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$4,545
Annualized
193%
EV / cycle
+$792
If assigned
-$118,485
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.94/share ($1,781 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $102.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$100.0017d+$1.78$0.74 to $1.4571%53%
Up And Out$102.5617d+$0.49$-0.67 to $0.0474%60%
Ss Escape$114.5638d+$0.29$-1.80 to $-0.5281%75%
Safety Up$129.5631d-$3.88$-6.90 to $-5.0891%90%
Reliable Up$108.5638d+$1.65$-0.36 to $0.8976%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,169 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $120 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.77 / mid $2.99 · $831 this cycle
25.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$804
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$504
If assigned
-$113,169
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.08/share ($3,623 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $123.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$120.0038d+$0.78$0.08 to $1.5771%55%
Up And Out$120.5638d+$0.65$-0.02 to $1.4171%55%
Ss Escape$120.5638d+$0.65$-0.02 to $1.4171%55%
Safety Up$126.5638d-$2.33$-3.29 to $-1.9075%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,131 (premium included).
Called-away odds7%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $135 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.23 / mid $1.30 · $369 this cycle
41.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
93%
Income / mo
$357
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$276
If assigned
-$109,131
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $14.70/share ($4,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $138.32.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$135.0038d+$0.94$0.83 to $2.9771%55%
Up And Out$136.5638d+$0.01$-0.16 to $1.9672%57%
Ss Escape$136.5638d+$0.01$-0.16 to $1.9672%57%
Safety Up$139.5638d-$1.22$-1.48 to $0.5373%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,835 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $103 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.55 / mid $7.85 · $2,265 this cycle
7.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$2,192
Annualized
93%
EV / cycle
+$978
If assigned
-$116,835
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.40/share ($2,820 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.54.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$103.0038d+$0.61$-0.33 to $0.2171%54%
Up And Out$103.5638d+$0.44$-0.45 to $0.0671%55%
Ss Escape$103.5638d+$0.44$-0.45 to $0.0671%55%
Safety Up$127.5638d-$7.16$-9.83 to $-8.4289%87%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 12:25 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.