MSTR @ $96.05

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $109 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,874 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $109 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.42 / mid $1.53 · $426 this cycle

13.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,278

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$219

If assigned

-$116,874

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.96/share ($1,489 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $111.83.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$109.00	17d	+$1.67	$1.20 to $2.20	67%	53%
Up And Out	$112.95	17d	+$0.08	$-0.60 to $0.46	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$123.95	38d	+$0.02	$-1.22 to $0.57	78%	73%
Safety Up	$127.95	31d	-$1.27	$-2.59 to $-0.89	82%	79%
Reliable Up	$118.95	38d	+$1.18	$0.09 to $1.79	74%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $121 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,592 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $121 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.47 · $108 this cycle

26.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$324

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$66

If assigned

-$113,592

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.88/share ($1,765 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $124.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$121.00	17d	+$1.98	$2.09 to $3.43	67%	53%
Up And Out	$124.95	17d	+$0.38	$0.26 to $1.55	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$136.95	38d	+$0.04	$-0.36 to $1.71	77%	72%
Safety Up	$136.95	31d	-$0.03	$-0.36 to $1.49	78%	73%
Reliable Up	$138.95	38d	-$0.03	$-0.43 to $1.62	78%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,740 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $101 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.20 / mid $3.50 · $960 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,880

Annualized

122%

EV / cycle

+$252

If assigned

-$118,740

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.39/share ($1,317 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $103.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	17d	+$1.47	$0.78 to $1.32	67%	53%
Up And Out	$103.95	17d	+$0.33	$-0.49 to $0.06	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$112.95	38d	+$0.28	$-1.34 to $-0.29	77%	72%
Safety Up	$134.95	38d	-$2.67	$-4.92 to $-3.51	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$108.95	31d	+$1.04	$-0.20 to $0.66	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,370 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.10 / mid $2.45 · $630 this cycle

24.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$610

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$267

If assigned

-$113,370

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.69/share ($2,908 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $123.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	38d	-$0.23	$-1.05 to $0.38	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$118.95	38d	+$0.56	$-0.14 to $1.21	67%	53%
Safety Up	$124.95	38d	-$1.96	$-2.89 to $-1.48	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,643 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.19 / mid $1.40 · $357 this cycle

35.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$345

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$197

If assigned

-$110,643

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.07/share ($3,322 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $133.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	38d	-$0.27	$-0.81 to $1.00	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$128.95	38d	+$0.57	$0.13 to $1.84	67%	54%
Safety Up	$132.95	38d	-$1.00	$-1.56 to $0.11	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $104 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.50 / mid $5.92 · $1,650 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,597

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$374

If assigned

-$117,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.67/share ($2,301 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $106.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	38d	-$0.18	$-1.23 to $-0.62	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$102.95	38d	+$0.54	$-0.36 to $0.17	66%	52%
Safety Up	$121.95	38d	-$5.19	$-7.30 to $-6.12	83%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 21:37 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.