MSTR @ $95.91

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $108 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.50 / mid $1.59 · $450 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$236

If assigned

-$117,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.81/share ($1,443 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $110.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	16d	+$1.87	$1.41 to $2.41	68%	53%
Up And Out	$112.09	16d	+$0.16	$-0.51 to $0.52	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$126.09	37d	+$0.05	$-1.05 to $0.59	81%	77%
Safety Up	$132.09	37d	-$1.26	$-2.64 to $-0.82	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$123.09	37d	+$0.71	$-0.31 to $1.26	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $124 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,713 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $124 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.33 · $87 this cycle

29.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$69

If assigned

-$112,713

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.06/share ($1,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $126.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$124.00	16d	+$2.34	$2.34 to $4.06	68%	53%
Up And Out	$129.09	16d	+$0.18	$-0.10 to $1.78	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$143.09	37d	+$1.20	$0.83 to $3.42	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $100 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $3.50 / mid $3.65 · $1,050 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$3,500

Annualized

148%

EV / cycle

+$386

If assigned

-$118,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.24/share ($1,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $102.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	16d	+$1.65	$0.91 to $1.43	67%	53%
Up And Out	$103.09	16d	+$0.44	$-0.44 to $0.12	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$115.09	37d	+$0.17	$-1.46 to $-0.41	80%	76%
Safety Up	$134.09	37d	-$2.56	$-4.88 to $-3.41	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$108.09	37d	+$2.13	$0.82 to $1.67	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,202 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $2.66 / mid $2.98 · $798 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$647

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$334

If assigned

-$113,202

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,658 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.14 / mid $1.27 · $342 this cycle

35.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$342

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$206

If assigned

-$110,658

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.13/share ($3,338 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $133.26.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	37d	+$1.40	$1.24 to $2.63	69%	55%
Up And Out	$132.09	37d	+$0.22	$-0.07 to $1.40	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$132.09	37d	+$0.22	$-0.07 to $1.40	70%	57%
Safety Up	$134.09	37d	-$0.74	$-1.12 to $0.43	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,345 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $5.85 / mid $6.28 · $1,755 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$1,755

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$497

If assigned

-$117,345

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.55/share ($2,265 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	37d	+$0.96	$0.36 to $0.75	69%	54%
Up And Out	$104.09	37d	+$0.23	$-0.52 to $-0.07	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$104.09	37d	+$0.23	$-0.52 to $-0.07	69%	56%
Safety Up	$127.09	37d	-$5.79	$-8.10 to $-6.85	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$103.09	37d	+$0.94	$0.35 to $0.73	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-29 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.