MSTR @ $95.35

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,546 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $107 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.18 / mid $1.30 · $354 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,328

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$127

If assigned

-$117,546

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.82/share ($1,145 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $109.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	15d	+$1.78	$1.48 to $2.31	66%	53%
Up And Out	$111.65	15d	+$0.09	$-0.49 to $0.34	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$125.65	36d	+$0.16	$-0.83 to $0.52	81%	77%
Safety Up	$131.65	36d	-$0.81	$-1.98 to $-0.51	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$121.65	36d	+$0.99	$0.14 to $1.40	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.32 · $90 this cycle

25.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$338

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$58

If assigned

-$113,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.59/share ($1,377 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $123.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	15d	+$2.16	$2.44 to $3.41	66%	53%
Up And Out	$125.65	15d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $1.09	72%	64%
Ss Escape	$139.65	36d	+$0.83	$0.73 to $2.32	79%	75%
Safety Up	$144.65	36d	-$0.11	$-0.35 to $1.30	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $100 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $2.50 / mid $2.68 · $750 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

120%

EV / cycle

+$103

If assigned

-$119,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.43/share ($1,029 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $102.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	15d	+$1.59	$1.10 to $1.57	66%	53%
Up And Out	$103.65	15d	+$0.13	$-0.62 to $-0.07	71%	62%
Ss Escape	$116.65	36d	+$0.13	$-1.13 to $-0.21	81%	77%
Safety Up	$134.65	36d	-$2.10	$-3.96 to $-2.64	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$113.65	43d	+$1.74	$0.71 to $1.54	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,325 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $2.25 / mid $2.80 · $675 this cycle

25.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$562

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$113,325

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.45/share ($3,136 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $123.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	43d	-$0.10	$-0.78 to $0.56	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$119.65	43d	+$0.05	$-0.62 to $0.73	67%	54%
Safety Up	$124.65	43d	-$1.92	$-2.79 to $-1.44	71%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,616 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.28 / mid $1.74 · $384 this cycle

36.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$320

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$165

If assigned

-$110,616

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.95/share ($3,585 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $132.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	43d	-$0.11	$-0.61 to $1.26	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$129.65	43d	+$0.04	$-0.45 to $1.43	68%	55%
Safety Up	$132.65	43d	-$1.21	$-1.79 to $0.02	69%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,165 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $104 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $5.45 / mid $6.18 · $1,635 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,362

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$281

If assigned

-$117,165

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.26/share ($2,478 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $106.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	43d	-$0.08	$-1.04 to $-0.47	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$103.65	43d	+$0.07	$-0.88 to $-0.31	67%	54%
Safety Up	$117.65	43d	-$4.38	$-6.07 to $-5.16	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 19:16 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.