MSTR @ $94.78

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,792 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $106 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.46 · $408 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,530

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$176

If assigned

-$117,792

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.44/share ($1,332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $108.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	15d	+$1.81	$1.35 to $2.32	67%	53%
Up And Out	$109.22	15d	+$0.30	$-0.40 to $0.58	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$119.22	29d	+$0.03	$-1.07 to $0.34	79%	74%
Safety Up	$125.22	29d	-$1.31	$-2.74 to $-1.13	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$118.22	36d	+$0.85	$-0.27 to $1.21	76%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.34 · $90 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$338

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$65

If assigned

-$113,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.42/share ($1,627 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $123.23.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	15d	+$2.24	$2.43 to $3.67	67%	53%
Up And Out	$125.22	15d	+$0.05	$-0.10 to $1.22	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$137.22	36d	+$0.17	$-0.22 to $1.73	78%	73%
Safety Up	$137.22	29d	-$0.23	$-0.61 to $1.21	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $99 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.20 · $900 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$3,375

Annualized

144%

EV / cycle

+$226

If assigned

-$119,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.99/share ($1,196 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $101.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$99.00	15d	+$1.62	$0.93 to $1.46	67%	53%
Up And Out	$102.22	15d	+$0.14	$-0.85 to $-0.19	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$112.22	36d	+$0.18	$-1.49 to $-0.37	78%	74%
Safety Up	$129.22	29d	-$2.86	$-5.36 to $-3.70	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$107.22	29d	+$1.03	$-0.26 to $0.61	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,445 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.85 / mid $2.28 · $555 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$463

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$152

If assigned

-$113,445

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.75/share ($3,526 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $123.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	43d	-$4.44	$-6.36 to $-3.46	64%	55%
Ss Escape	$111.22	43d	+$0.56	$-0.83 to $1.89	60%	43%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,035 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.99 · $465 this cycle

31.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$388

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$185

If assigned

-$112,035

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $12.59/share ($3,776 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $128.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	43d	-$4.75	$-6.42 to $-2.99	64%	55%
Ss Escape	$116.22	43d	+$0.32	$-0.84 to $2.27	60%	44%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,540 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $5.20 / mid $6.55 · $1,560 this cycle

8.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$209

If assigned

-$117,540

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.13/share ($2,740 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $105.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	43d	-$3.44	$-5.95 to $-4.57	64%	54%
Ss Escape	$98.22	43d	+$0.20	$-1.51 to $-0.53	62%	46%
Safety Up	$107.22	43d	-$5.20	$-8.13 to $-6.54	67%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.