MSTR @ $97.38

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,195 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $108 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.35 / mid $1.45 · $405 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,736

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$225

If assigned

-$117,195

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.28/share ($1,285 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $110.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	14d	+$2.00	$1.54 to $2.53	68%	53%
Up And Out	$111.62	14d	+$0.42	$-0.29 to $0.78	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$125.62	35d	+$0.12	$-1.14 to $0.53	81%	77%
Safety Up	$130.62	35d	-$0.71	$-2.10 to $-0.42	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$121.62	35d	+$1.10	$-0.01 to $1.60	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,331 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $122 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.27 · $69 this cycle

25.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$296

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$64

If assigned

-$113,331

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.24/share ($1,571 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $125.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$122.00	14d	+$2.46	$2.51 to $3.91	68%	53%
Up And Out	$126.62	14d	+$0.36	$0.04 to $1.68	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$144.62	35d	+$0.22	$-0.30 to $1.93	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,770 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $101 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $3.10 / mid $3.25 · $930 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$3,986

Annualized

166%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$118,770

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.84/share ($1,152 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	14d	+$1.78	$1.07 to $1.64	68%	53%
Up And Out	$104.62	14d	+$0.22	$-0.80 to $-0.09	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$115.62	35d	+$0.10	$-1.69 to $-0.47	80%	75%
Safety Up	$133.62	35d	-$2.32	$-4.77 to $-3.07	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$111.62	42d	+$1.38	$-0.32 to $0.89	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,178 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.74 / mid $2.97 · $822 this cycle

23.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$705

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$367

If assigned

-$113,178

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.26/share ($3,079 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $122.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	42d	-$1.81	$-3.05 to $-1.37	66%	55%
Ss Escape	$113.62	42d	+$0.35	$-0.87 to $1.06	60%	46%
Safety Up	$123.62	42d	-$2.24	$-3.34 to $-1.91	70%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,547 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.51 / mid $1.70 · $453 this cycle

33.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$388

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$244

If assigned

-$110,547

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.74/share ($3,523 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $133.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	42d	-$2.07	$-3.08 to $-0.91	66%	55%
Ss Escape	$123.62	42d	+$0.02	$-0.94 to $1.53	61%	47%
Safety Up	$130.62	42d	-$0.62	$-1.29 to $0.42	68%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,715 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $105 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $5.95 / mid $6.47 · $1,785 this cycle

7.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$1,530

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$403

If assigned

-$116,715

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.22/share ($2,467 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $107.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$105.00	42d	-$1.45	$-3.04 to $-2.18	66%	54%
Ss Escape	$99.62	42d	+$0.27	$-1.36 to $-0.42	60%	45%
Safety Up	$115.62	42d	-$4.22	$-6.02 to $-5.10	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.