MSTR @ $93.22

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $102 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $1.00 / mid $1.09 · $300 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$119

If assigned

-$119,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.16/share ($948 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $104.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	14d	+$1.93	$1.65 to $2.27	67%	53%
Up And Out	$106.78	14d	+$0.01	$-0.58 to $0.11	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$123.78	42d	+$0.24	$-0.74 to $0.39	83%	81%
Safety Up	$128.78	42d	-$0.41	$-1.50 to $-0.31	86%	85%
Reliable Up	$118.78	35d	+$0.63	$-0.24 to $0.78	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $112 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,334 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $112 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.26 · $66 this cycle

20.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$283

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$42

If assigned

-$116,334

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.71/share ($1,112 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $114.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$112.00	14d	+$2.26	$2.41 to $3.22	67%	53%
Up And Out	$117.78	14d	+$0.04	$-0.19 to $0.81	74%	67%
Ss Escape	$138.78	42d	+$0.25	$-0.16 to $1.41	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $96 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $120,372 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $96 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $2.26 / mid $2.38 · $678 this cycle

3.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,906

Annualized

126%

EV / cycle

+$150

If assigned

-$120,372

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.88/share ($864 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $98.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$96.50	14d	+$1.76	$1.33 to $1.65	67%	53%
Up And Out	$100.78	14d	+$0.12	$-0.66 to $-0.17	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$114.28	35d	+$0.05	$-1.35 to $-0.44	83%	80%
Safety Up	$128.28	42d	-$1.29	$-3.11 to $-1.93	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$109.28	42d	+$1.77	$0.67 to $1.36	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,825 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $115 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.25 / mid $2.67 · $675 this cycle

23.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$579

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$244

If assigned

-$114,825

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.72/share ($2,915 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $117.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	42d	+$0.17	$-0.42 to $0.69	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$114.78	42d	+$0.27	$-0.32 to $0.81	68%	54%
Safety Up	$119.78	42d	-$1.89	$-2.64 to $-1.52	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,131 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.23 / mid $1.55 · $369 this cycle

34.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$316

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$176

If assigned

-$112,131

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.19/share ($3,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $128.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	42d	+$0.21	$-0.15 to $1.54	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$124.78	42d	+$0.31	$-0.03 to $1.65	68%	54%
Safety Up	$127.78	42d	-$1.11	$-1.60 to $0.11	70%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,095 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $101 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $5.35 / mid $5.92 · $1,605 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,376

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$340

If assigned

-$118,095

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.83/share ($2,348 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $103.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	42d	+$0.12	$-0.68 to $-0.19	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$100.78	42d	+$0.22	$-0.57 to $-0.09	68%	54%
Safety Up	$117.78	42d	-$5.10	$-6.89 to $-5.97	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.