MSTR @ $94.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,752 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.23 · $348 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,740

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$199

If assigned

-$118,752

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.30/share ($990 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $105.28.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	13d	+$2.14	$1.85 to $2.46	68%	53%
Up And Out	$107.84	13d	+$0.24	$-0.37 to $0.45	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$123.84	41d	+$0.34	$-0.73 to $0.62	83%	80%
Safety Up	$133.84	41d	-$0.93	$-2.20 to $-0.72	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$120.84	34d	+$0.59	$-0.34 to $0.88	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $115 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $60 this cycle

22.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$56

If assigned

-$115,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.98/share ($1,194 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $117.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	13d	+$2.58	$2.62 to $3.55	68%	53%
Up And Out	$120.84	13d	+$0.34	$0.23 to $1.20	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$140.84	41d	+$0.35	$0.07 to $1.59	84%	81%
Safety Up	$145.84	41d	-$0.16	$-0.49 to $1.05	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$134.84	27d	-$0.08	$-0.37 to $1.03	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $97 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $120,093 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $97 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.69 / mid $2.76 · $807 this cycle

3.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,035

Annualized

174%

EV / cycle

+$285

If assigned

-$120,093

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.98/share ($895 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $99.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$97.00	13d	+$1.94	$1.44 to $1.86	68%	53%
Up And Out	$101.84	13d	+$0.06	$-0.82 to $-0.24	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$114.84	34d	+$0.17	$-1.21 to $-0.28	84%	80%
Safety Up	$127.84	41d	-$1.21	$-3.01 to $-1.80	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$111.84	41d	+$1.29	$0.04 to $0.90	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,717 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $115 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $2.61 / mid $2.88 · $783 this cycle

22.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$691

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$355

If assigned

-$114,717

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.47/share ($2,840 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $117.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	41d	+$0.53	$0.02 to $1.16	69%	54%
Up And Out	$115.84	41d	+$0.15	$-0.39 to $0.73	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$115.84	41d	+$0.15	$-0.39 to $0.73	69%	56%
Safety Up	$121.84	41d	-$2.32	$-3.10 to $-1.93	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,074 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.42 / mid $1.56 · $426 this cycle

32.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$376

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$236

If assigned

-$112,074

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.91/share ($3,273 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $127.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	41d	+$0.62	$0.25 to $1.78	69%	55%
Up And Out	$125.84	41d	+$0.23	$-0.16 to $1.35	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$125.84	41d	+$0.23	$-0.16 to $1.35	69%	56%
Safety Up	$128.84	41d	-$1.24	$-1.80 to $-0.21	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,735 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $102 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $5.55 / mid $5.97 · $1,665 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,469

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$468

If assigned

-$117,735

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.74/share ($2,321 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $104.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	41d	+$0.43	$-0.28 to $0.16	68%	54%
Up And Out	$102.84	41d	+$0.04	$-0.69 to $-0.25	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$102.84	41d	+$0.04	$-0.69 to $-0.25	69%	56%
Safety Up	$117.84	41d	-$4.75	$-6.40 to $-5.54	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-01 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.