MSTR @ $95.51

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,747 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $106 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.51 / mid $1.61 · $453 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,359

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$230

If assigned

-$117,747

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.39/share ($1,317 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $108.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	17d	+$1.79	$1.40 to $2.19	68%	53%
Up And Out	$110.49	17d	+$0.06	$-0.48 to $0.23	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$125.49	45d	+$0.34	$-0.67 to $0.64	82%	78%
Safety Up	$135.49	45d	-$1.21	$-2.46 to $-1.02	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$120.49	45d	+$1.54	$0.66 to $1.93	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $119 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,204 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $119 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.36 · $96 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$288

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$81

If assigned

-$114,204

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.35/share ($1,605 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $121.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$119.00	17d	+$2.18	$2.17 to $3.69	68%	53%
Up And Out	$123.49	17d	+$0.46	$0.29 to $1.77	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$143.49	45d	+$0.76	$0.39 to $2.75	83%	79%
Safety Up	$148.49	45d	-$0.31	$-0.82 to $1.63	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$138.49	45d	+$1.49	$1.19 to $3.52	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $100 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $100 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.10 · $900 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

115%

EV / cycle

+$308

If assigned

-$119,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.98/share ($1,193 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $102.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$100.00	17d	+$1.62	$1.08 to $1.50	68%	53%
Up And Out	$103.49	17d	+$0.06	$-0.73 to $-0.24	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$114.49	38d	+$0.00	$-1.41 to $-0.52	80%	76%
Safety Up	$134.49	45d	-$2.10	$-4.08 to $-2.81	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$110.49	38d	+$1.01	$-0.23 to $0.59	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $115 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $2.30 / mid $2.59 · $690 this cycle

20.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$668

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$276

If assigned

-$114,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.65/share ($2,594 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $117.67.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	38d	+$0.70	$0.23 to $1.18	68%	54%
Up And Out	$116.49	38d	+$0.02	$-0.50 to $0.45	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$119.49	45d	+$0.75	$0.19 to $1.31	72%	61%
Safety Up	$124.49	45d	-$1.35	$-2.15 to $-0.92	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $130 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $110,622 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $130 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $1.26 / mid $1.40 · $378 this cycle

36.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$298

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$218

If assigned

-$110,622

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.77/share ($3,532 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $133.12.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$130.00	45d	+$1.27	$1.09 to $2.40	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$129.49	45d	+$1.47	$1.30 to $2.64	69%	54%
Safety Up	$134.49	45d	-$0.57	$-0.88 to $0.33	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,555 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.15 / mid $5.47 · $1,545 this cycle

7.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$1,495

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$414

If assigned

-$117,555

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.18/share ($2,153 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $105.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	38d	+$0.58	$-0.06 to $0.34	68%	54%
Up And Out	$103.49	38d	+$0.35	$-0.30 to $0.11	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$107.49	45d	+$0.29	$-0.47 to $-0.02	73%	62%
Safety Up	$127.49	45d	-$4.75	$-6.60 to $-5.58	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.