MSTR @ $95.08

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-81.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $106 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,810 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $106 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.30 / mid $1.39 · $390 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,170

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$178

If assigned

-$117,810

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.29/share ($1,288 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $108.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$106.00	17d	+$1.63	$1.27 to $2.06	67%	53%
Up And Out	$109.92	17d	+$0.06	$-0.50 to $0.31	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$125.92	45d	+$0.32	$-0.69 to $0.68	82%	78%
Safety Up	$135.92	45d	-$1.29	$-2.55 to $-1.03	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$120.92	45d	+$1.53	$0.70 to $2.02	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $116 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $115,098 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $116 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.44 · $102 this cycle

22.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$306

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$63

If assigned

-$115,098

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.01/share ($1,502 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $118.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$116.00	17d	+$1.91	$2.04 to $3.17	68%	53%
Up And Out	$119.92	17d	+$0.32	$0.24 to $1.34	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$140.92	45d	+$0.23	$-0.03 to $1.64	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$135.92	45d	+$1.16	$1.06 to $2.62	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $99 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $119,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $99 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.23 · $900 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

115%

EV / cycle

+$250

If assigned

-$119,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.83/share ($1,148 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $101.24.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$99.00	17d	+$1.45	$0.90 to $1.33	67%	53%
Up And Out	$102.42	17d	+$0.08	$-0.66 to $-0.18	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$113.92	45d	+$0.93	$-0.34 to $0.51	80%	75%
Safety Up	$133.92	45d	-$2.10	$-4.05 to $-2.78	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$106.92	38d	+$1.59	$0.44 to $1.24	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $115 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,903 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $115 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.99 / mid $2.45 · $597 this cycle

20.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$578

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$195

If assigned

-$114,903

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.87/share ($2,660 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $117.73.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$115.00	38d	+$0.20	$-0.45 to $0.69	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$119.92	45d	+$0.16	$-0.54 to $0.75	72%	62%
Safety Up	$124.92	45d	-$1.78	$-2.68 to $-1.32	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $112,206 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $1.27 · $294 this cycle

31.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$285

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$127

If assigned

-$112,206

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.22/share ($3,066 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $127.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$125.00	38d	+$0.23	$-0.16 to $1.34	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$129.92	45d	+$0.51	$0.13 to $1.84	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $102 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $102 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.00 / mid $5.60 · $1,500 this cycle

7.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,452

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$300

If assigned

-$117,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.24/share ($2,173 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $104.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$102.00	38d	+$0.17	$-0.70 to $-0.21	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$101.92	38d	+$0.20	$-0.66 to $-0.17	67%	54%
Safety Up	$121.92	45d	-$4.38	$-6.28 to $-5.30	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.