MSTR @ $97.32

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-80.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,147 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $108 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.51 / mid $1.56 · $453 this cycle
11.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$1,510
Annualized
63%
EV / cycle
+$246
If assigned
-$117,147
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.30/share ($1,289 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $110.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$108.0016d+$1.95$1.64 to $2.4368%53%
Up And Out$112.6816d+$0.01$-0.62 to $0.2674%64%
Ss Escape$130.6844d+$0.30$-0.79 to $0.6984%80%
Safety Up$140.6844d-$1.25$-2.63 to $-1.0088%87%
Reliable Up$125.6844d+$1.36$0.45 to $1.8181%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $122 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,301 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $122 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.35 · $99 this cycle
25.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$330
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$80
If assigned
-$113,301
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.29/share ($1,587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $124.59.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$122.0016d+$2.41$2.74 to $3.8668%53%
Up And Out$127.6816d+$0.07$-0.04 to $1.2874%64%
Ss Escape$149.6844d+$0.57$0.45 to $2.3184%80%
Safety Up$154.6844d-$0.25$-0.51 to $1.4486%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,710 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $101 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.40 · $990 this cycle
3.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$3,300
Annualized
138%
EV / cycle
+$346
If assigned
-$118,710
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.84/share ($1,151 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$101.0016d+$1.74$1.21 to $1.6268%53%
Up And Out$104.6816d+$0.21$-0.53 to $-0.0773%63%
Ss Escape$118.6844d+$0.72$-0.63 to $0.2282%78%
Safety Up$138.6844d-$2.06$-4.06 to $-2.8292%91%
Reliable Up$113.6844d+$1.88$0.71 to $1.4779%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,211 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $120 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $2.63 / mid $2.81 · $789 this cycle
23.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$640
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$374
If assigned
-$113,211
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.90/share ($2,969 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $122.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$120.0044d+$1.37$1.08 to $1.8769%55%
Up And Out$122.6844d+$0.09$-0.28 to $0.4571%58%
Ss Escape$122.6844d+$0.09$-0.28 to $0.4571%58%
Safety Up$127.6844d-$1.87$-2.40 to $-1.6774%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $140 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $107,577 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $140 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $1.41 / mid $1.45 · $423 this cycle
43.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$288
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$273
If assigned
-$107,577
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,120 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $104 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $5.60 / mid $5.92 · $1,680 this cycle
6.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$1,680
Annualized
70%
EV / cycle
+$488
If assigned
-$117,120
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.15/share ($2,146 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $106.43.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$104.0037d+$0.75$0.13 to $0.4768%54%
Up And Out$104.6837d+$0.44$-0.19 to $0.1469%55%
Ss Escape$106.6844d+$0.99$0.22 to $0.6371%59%
Safety Up$136.6844d-$5.60$-7.96 to $-6.7792%91%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.