MSTR @ $97.35

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $108 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,192 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $108 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.43 · $408 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,360

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$199

If assigned

-$117,192

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.19/share ($1,258 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $110.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$108.00	16d	+$1.84	$1.50 to $2.23	67%	53%
Up And Out	$111.65	16d	+$0.26	$-0.32 to $0.52	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$130.65	44d	+$0.32	$-0.74 to $0.66	83%	80%
Safety Up	$140.65	44d	-$1.27	$-2.64 to $-1.06	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$125.65	44d	+$1.31	$0.39 to $1.73	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $119 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,213 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $119 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.38 · $87 this cycle

22.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$290

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$55

If assigned

-$114,213

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.95/share ($1,484 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $121.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$119.00	16d	+$2.17	$2.22 to $3.38	67%	53%
Up And Out	$123.65	16d	+$0.13	$-0.23 to $0.96	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$146.65	44d	+$0.09	$-0.58 to $1.33	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $101 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $3.00 / mid $3.20 · $900 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

125%

EV / cycle

+$251

If assigned

-$118,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.74/share ($1,123 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.29.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$101.00	16d	+$1.64	$1.09 to $1.51	67%	53%
Up And Out	$104.65	16d	+$0.08	$-0.72 to $-0.22	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$118.65	44d	+$0.70	$-0.64 to $0.21	82%	78%
Safety Up	$138.65	44d	-$2.04	$-4.02 to $-2.79	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$113.65	44d	+$1.81	$0.63 to $1.39	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,325 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $2.25 / mid $2.58 · $675 this cycle

23.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$547

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$248

If assigned

-$113,325

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $10.05/share ($3,014 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $122.71.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	44d	+$0.98	$0.56 to $1.44	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$117.65	44d	+$2.07	$1.69 to $2.66	67%	51%
Safety Up	$122.65	44d	-$0.26	$-0.75 to $0.08	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $108,990 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $1.70 / mid $1.78 · $510 this cycle

38.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$348

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$296

If assigned

-$108,990

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $104 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,270 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $104 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $5.10 / mid $5.65 · $1,530 this cycle

6.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$1,530

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$307

If assigned

-$117,270

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.10/share ($2,129 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $106.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$104.00	37d	+$0.27	$-0.56 to $-0.14	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$106.65	44d	+$0.91	$0.09 to $0.51	71%	59%
Safety Up	$126.65	44d	-$4.40	$-6.24 to $-5.32	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 21:44 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.