MSTR @ $98.97

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares300

Avg cost$500.00

Drawdown-80.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable3

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $109 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,895 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $109 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.35 / mid $1.42 · $405 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,519

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$221

If assigned

-$116,895

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.85/share ($1,154 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $111.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$109.00	15d	+$2.03	$1.78 to $2.58	68%	53%
Up And Out	$114.03	15d	+$0.09	$-0.46 to $0.40	74%	66%
Ss Escape	$135.03	43d	+$0.01	$-1.00 to $0.40	85%	83%
Safety Up	$145.03	43d	-$1.35	$-2.65 to $-1.04	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$130.03	43d	+$0.88	$-0.01 to $1.38	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $120 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $113,907 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $120 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.35 · $93 this cycle

21.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$349

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$71

If assigned

-$113,907

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.54/share ($1,362 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $122.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$120.00	15d	+$2.40	$2.65 to $3.58	68%	53%
Up And Out	$126.03	15d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $1.09	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$151.03	43d	+$0.09	$-0.07 to $1.43	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $103 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,242 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $103 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $2.86 / mid $2.96 · $858 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$3,218

Annualized

132%

EV / cycle

+$316

If assigned

-$118,242

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.49/share ($1,048 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $105.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$103.00	15d	+$1.84	$1.36 to $1.81	68%	53%
Up And Out	$107.03	15d	+$0.22	$-0.50 to $0.01	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$124.03	43d	+$0.38	$-0.98 to $0.01	84%	81%
Safety Up	$139.03	43d	-$1.60	$-3.43 to $-2.15	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$114.03	43d	+$2.57	$1.54 to $2.34	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,609 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $125 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $2.97 / mid $3.04 · $891 this cycle

26.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$622

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$442

If assigned

-$111,609

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,131 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $135 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.23 / mid $1.34 · $369 this cycle

36.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$308

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$109,131

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $11.77/share ($3,532 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $138.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$135.00	43d	+$1.34	$1.22 to $2.56	69%	55%
Up And Out	$136.03	43d	+$0.82	$0.66 to $1.96	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$136.03	43d	+$0.82	$0.66 to $1.96	70%	56%
Safety Up	$141.03	43d	-$1.18	$-1.53 to $-0.31	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,205 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 3 × $107 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $5.65 / mid $6.03 · $1,695 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$1,412

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$446

If assigned

-$116,205

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.89/share ($2,366 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $109.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$107.00	43d	+$0.91	$0.40 to $0.71	69%	54%
Up And Out	$108.03	43d	+$0.40	$-0.15 to $0.17	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$108.03	43d	+$0.40	$-0.15 to $0.17	70%	56%
Safety Up	$128.03	43d	-$5.26	$-6.93 to $-6.03	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.