MSTR @ $96.95

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares300
Avg cost$500.00
Drawdown-80.6%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $500.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $107 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $117,555 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $107 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $1.15 / mid $1.25 · $345 this cycle
10.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$1,294
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$165
If assigned
-$117,555
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.91/share ($1,173 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $109.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$107.0015d+$1.94$1.63 to $2.4468%53%
Up And Out$111.0515d+$0.21$-0.38 to $0.4473%63%
Ss Escape$130.0543d+$0.14$-0.98 to $0.4884%81%
Safety Up$135.0543d-$0.61$-1.86 to $-0.2986%84%
Reliable Up$125.0543d+$1.08$0.09 to $1.4481%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $118 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $114,507 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $118 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.33 · $93 this cycle
21.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$349
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$69
If assigned
-$114,507
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.62/share ($1,387 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $120.53.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$118.0015d+$2.31$2.59 to $3.5768%53%
Up And Out$123.0515d+$0.11$0.03 to $1.2273%64%
Ss Escape$146.0543d+$0.19$-0.06 to $1.7184%81%
Reliable Up$141.0543d+$1.06$0.94 to $2.6282%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $101 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $118,911 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $101 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $2.63 / mid $2.72 · $789 this cycle
4.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$2,959
Annualized
124%
EV / cycle
+$260
If assigned
-$118,911
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.54/share ($1,063 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $103.26.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$101.0015d+$1.76$1.26 to $1.7368%53%
Up And Out$105.0515d+$0.04$-0.76 to $-0.2074%64%
Ss Escape$119.0543d+$0.60$-0.78 to $0.2182%78%
Safety Up$139.0543d-$1.97$-3.96 to $-2.5992%91%
Reliable Up$111.0536d+$1.12$-0.16 to $0.7676%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $125 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $111,753 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $125 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $2.49 / mid $2.62 · $747 this cycle
28.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$521
Annualized
22%
EV / cycle
+$370
If assigned
-$111,753
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $135 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $109,047 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $135 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $1.51 / mid $1.64 · $453 this cycle
39.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$316
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$258
If assigned
-$109,047
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $105 is BELOW your $500.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $116,475 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $105 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $6.75 / mid $6.97 · $2,025 this cycle
8.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$1,413
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$582
If assigned
-$116,475
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.